Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31486838›Full record

ArticleJAMA otolaryngology-- head & neck surgery2020

Preoperative Risk Index Among Patients Undergoing Thyroid or Parathyroid Surgery.

Marco Antonio Mascarella, Daniel Milad, Keith Richardson, Alex Mlynarek, Richard J Payne, Veronique-Isabelle Forest, Michael Hier, Nader Sadeghi, Nancy Mayo

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JAMA otolaryngology-- head & neck surgery, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 22% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. [Multimorbid patients in endocrine surgery].Chirurgie (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Impact of frailty on inpatient outcomes in thyroid cancer surgery: 10-year results from the U.S. national inpatient sample.Journal of otolaryngology - head & neck surgery = Le Journal d'oto-rhino-laryngologie et de chirurgie cervico-faciale · 2020
    Observational
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Marco Antonio MascarellaDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Daniel MiladDepartment of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Laval University, Quebec, Quebec, Canada.
Keith RichardsonDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Alex MlynarekDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Richard J PayneDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Veronique-Isabelle ForestDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Michael HierDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Nader SadeghiDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Nancy MayoDepartment of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
McGill University · CAUniversité Laval · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Importance: Frailty represents a multidimensional syndrome that is increasingly being used to stratify risk in surgical patients. Current frailty risk models are limited among those undergoing thyroid or parathyroid surgery. Objective: To develop and compare preoperative risk indices to determine factors associated with short-term major postoperative adverse events in patients undergoing thyroid or parathyroid surgery. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study evaluated 154 895 patients in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program who underwent thyroid or parathyroid surgery from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2016. Exposures: Preoperative frailty-related and surgical factors from a derivation cohort were evaluated using simple and multiple logistic regression. Variables potentially associated with postoperative adverse events were subsequently combined into a personalized preoperative Cervical Endocrine Surgery Risk Index (CESRI) and compared with existing risk models using the validation cohort. Main Outcomes and Measures: Composite variable of any major postoperative adverse event, including death, within 30 days of surgery. Results: Of the 154 895 operations reviewed, 3318 patients (2.1%; 2296 women and 1022 men; mean [SD] age, 56.1 [15.6] years) experienced a major postoperative adverse event, with 163 deaths (0.1%). Older age (age, ≥80 years: odds ratio [OR], 2.35; 95% CI, 1.74-3.13), inpatient status (OR, 3.55; 95% CI, 3.08-4.11), male sex (OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.29-1.71), current tobacco smoking (OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.05-1.48), dyspnea (OR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.29-1.91), recent weight loss (OR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.23-2.78), functional dependence (OR, 2.77; 95% CI, 2.05-3.69), obesity (OR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.10-1.60), anemia (OR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.82-2.52), leukocytosis (OR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.38-2.14), hypoalbuminemia (OR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.56-2.23), use of anticoagulation (OR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.64-2.81), and length of surgery (>4 hours: OR, 2.92; 95% CI, 2.37-3.59) were independently associated with major adverse events or death on multiple regression analysis (C statistic, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.76-0.78). The area under the curve of the CESRI to determine major adverse events, including death, using the validation cohort was 0.63 (95% CI, 0.61-0.64), with a sensitivity of 0.66 (95% CI, 0.64-0.68) and specificity of 0.66 (95% CI, 0.65-0.66). The CESRI outperformed other risk models for determining adverse events (CESRI vs 5-Factor Modified Frailty Index: delta C index, 0.11; 95% CI, 0.09-0.13; CESRI vs American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status Classification System: delta C index, 0.05; 95% CI, 0.03-0.07; CESRI vs American College of Surgeons Risk Calculator: delta C index, 0.02; 95% CI, 0.01-0.03; and CESRI vs Head and Neck Surgery Risk Index: delta C index, 0.04; 95% CI, 0.03-0.06). Conclusions and Relevance: This study suggests that the CESRI is able to determine major postoperative adverse events in patients undergoing thyroid or parathyroid surgery.

Indexed as

FrailtyAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedParathyroid DiseasesPostoperative ComplicationsPreoperative PeriodRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSex FactorsThyroid Diseases

Identifiers

PMID31486838
PMCPMC6735422
OpenAlexW2971932287

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.