ArticleTobacco control2020
Evaluating smoking control policies in the e-cigarette era: a modelling study.
Article in Tobacco control, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed.
- Global burden and trends of rheumatoid arthritis attributable to smoking from 1990 to 2021 with forecasts to 2050.Tropical medicine and health · 2026Article
- Development of Survey Measures of Uncontrolled Vaping and Vaping Restraint.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2025Article
- Perceptions of Children and Young People in England on the Smokefree Generation Policy: A Focus Group Study.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2025Article
- UK policymaker and expert perspectives on the smoke-free generation policy: a qualitative study.BMJ public health · 2025Article
- Tobacco endgame intervention impacts on health gains and Māori:non-Māori health inequity: a simulation study of the Aotearoa/New Zealand Tobacco Action Plan.Tobacco control · 2024Article
- Global burden of bladder cancer attributable to smoking in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019.Heliyon · 2024Article
- How do New Zealand youth perceive the smoke-free generation policy? A qualitative analysis.Tobacco control · 2024Article
- Perception of e-cigarette control policies and education in schools on increased legal knowledge, harm perception, susceptibility and e-cigarette use among students in Thailand: A cross-sectional classroom-based survey.Tobacco induced diseases · 2024Article
- Modeling the future of tobacco control: Using SimSmoke to explore the feasibility of the tobacco endgame in Korea.Tobacco induced diseases · 2023Article
- Strategies to tackle non-communicable diseases in Afghanistan: A scoping review.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Global youth vaping and respiratory health: epidemiology, interventions, and policies.NPJ primary care respiratory medicine · 2022Review
- Improving on estimates of the potential relative harm to health from using modern ENDS (vaping) compared to tobacco smoking.BMC public health · 2021Review
- A Longitudinal Examination of Behavioral Transitions among Young Adult Menthol and Non-Menthol Cigarette Smokers Using a Three-State Markov Model.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2021Article
- 9. Flavours in novel and emerging nicotine and tobacco products.World Health Organization technical report series · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundIn jurisdictions in which electronic cigarettes are currently prohibited, policy makers must weigh the potentially lower risk compared with conventional cigarettes against the risk of initiation of e-cigarettes among non-smokers.
methodsWe simulated a synthetic population over a 50-year time horizon with an open cohort model using data from Singapore, a country where e-cigarettes are currently prohibited, and data from the USA, the UK and Japan. Using the smoking prevalence and the quality-adjusted life year gained calculated, we compared tobacco control policies without e-cigarettes-namely, raising the minimum legal age (MLA), introducing a smoke-free generation (SFG) and tax rises on tobacco consumption-with policies legalising e-cigarettes, either taking a laissez-faire approach or under some form of restriction. We also evaluated combinations of these policies.
resultsRegardless of the country informing the transition probabilities to and from e-cigarette use in Singapore, a laissez-faire e-cigarette policy could reduce the smoking prevalence in the short term, but it is not as effective as other policies in the long term. The most effective single policies evaluated were SFG and aggressive tax rises; the most effective combination of policies considered was MLA plus moderate tax rises and e-cigarettes on prescription.
conclusionPolicy makers in jurisdictions in which e-cigarettes are not yet established may be advised not to prioritise e-cigarettes in their tobacco end-game strategy, unless their use can be restricted to current smokers seeking to quit.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.