Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31484641›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2019

Potential impact on prevalence of obesity in the UK of a 20% price increase in high sugar snacks: modelling study.

Pauline F D Scheelbeek, Laura Cornelsen, Theresa M Marteau, Susan A Jebb, Richard D Smith

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
9.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 57 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. Effect of excise tax on sugar-sweetened beverages in Catalonia, Spain, three and a half years after its introduction.The international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Pauline F D ScheelbeekDepartment of Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK pauline.scheelbeek@lshtm.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-6209-2284
Laura CornelsenDepartment of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Theresa M MarteauBehaviour and Health Research Unit, Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Susan A JebbNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Richard D SmithCollege of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · GBUniversity of Cambridge · GBUniversity of Exeter · GBUniversity of London · GBUniversity of Oxford · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/L012324/1Medical Research Council MR/P021999/1Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the potential impact on body mass index (BMI) and prevalence of obesity of a 20% price increase in high sugar snacks.

designModelling study.

settingGeneral adult population of the United Kingdom.

participants36 324 households with data on product level household expenditure from UK Kantar FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) panel for January 2012 to December 2013. Data were used to estimate changes in energy (kcal, 1 kcal=4.18 kJ=0.00418 MJ) purchase associated with a 20% price increase in high sugar snacks. Data for 2544 adults from waves 5 to 8 of the National Diet and Nutrition Survey (2012-16) were used to estimate resulting changes in BMI and prevalence of obesity.

main outcome measuresThe effect on per person take home energy purchases of a 20% price increase for three categories of high sugar snacks: confectionery (including chocolate), biscuits, and cakes. Health outcomes resulting from the price increase were measured as changes in weight, BMI (not overweight (BMI <25), overweight (BMI ≥25 and <30), and obese (BMI ≥30)), and prevalence of obesity. Results were stratified by household income and BMI.

resultsFor income groups combined, the average reduction in energy consumption for a 20% price increase in high sugar snacks was estimated to be 8.9×10

conclusionsIncreasing the price of high sugar snacks by 20% could reduce energy intake, BMI, and prevalence of obesity. This finding was in a UK context and was double that modelled for a similar price increase in sugar sweetened beverages.

Indexed as

CommerceSnacksTaxesAdolescentAdultBody Mass IndexEnergy IntakeFemaleHumansIncomeMaleModels, BiologicalModels, EconomicObesityPrevalenceSugarsSugars

Identifiers

PMID31484641
PMCPMC6724407
OpenAlexW2971751306

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.