Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31483796›Full record

ArticlePloS one2019

Cost-effectiveness of a multitarget stool DNA test for colorectal cancer screening of Medicare beneficiaries.

Steffie K Naber, Amy B Knudsen, Ann G Zauber, Carolyn M Rutter, Sara E Fischer, Chester J Pabiniak, Brittany Soto, Karen M Kuntz, Iris Lansdorp-Vogelaar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Benefits, Harms, and Burden of Colorectal Cancer Screening Among Childhood Cancer Survivors Previously Treated With Abdominopelvic Radiation.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Network approach in liquidomics landscape.Journal of experimental & clinical cancer research : CR · 2023
    Review
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Cost-Effectiveness of Colorectal Cancer Surveillance in Hodgkin Lymphoma Survivors Treated with Procarbazine and/or Infradiaphragmatic Radiotherapy.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2022
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Circulating tumour DNA - looking beyond the blood.Nature reviews. Clinical oncology · 2022
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Steffie K NaberErasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Department of Public Health, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-8357-1738
Amy B KnudsenInstitute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Ann G ZauberDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York, United States of America.
Carolyn M RutterRAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California, United States of America.
Sara E FischerDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York, United States of America.
Chester J PabiniakKaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Brittany SotoDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York, United States of America.
Karen M KuntzDivision of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States of America.
Iris Lansdorp-VogelaarErasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Department of Public Health, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Hongbiao Carl Lekaye · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Comparative Modeling of Colorectal Cancer: Informing Health Policies and Prioritizing Future ResearchU01CA199335 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI KUNTZ, KAREN M, LANSDORP-VOGELAAR, IRIS · 2015 to 2019
$5.5M
Modeling Effective Health Policies for Colorectal CancerU01CA152959 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI KUNTZ, KAREN M, LANSDORP-VOGELAAR, IRIS · 2010 to 2014
$5.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS U01 CA152959NCI NIH HHS U01 CA199335
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn 2014, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) began covering a multitarget stool DNA (mtSDNA) test for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening of Medicare beneficiaries. In this study, we evaluated whether mtSDNA testing is a cost-effective alternative to other CRC screening strategies reimbursed by CMS, and if not, under what conditions it could be.

methodsWe use three independently-developed microsimulation models to simulate a cohort of previously unscreened US 65-year-olds who are screened with triennial mtSDNA testing, or one of six other reimbursed screening strategies. Main outcome measures are discounted life-years gained (LYG) and lifetime costs (CMS perspective), threshold reimbursement rates, and threshold adherence rates. Outcomes are expressed as the median and range across models.

resultsCompared to no screening, triennial mtSDNA screening resulted in 82 (range: 79-88) LYG per 1,000 simulated individuals. This was more than for five-yearly sigmoidoscopy (80 (range: 71-89) LYG), but fewer than for every other simulated strategy. At its 2017 reimbursement rate of $512, mtSDNA was the most costly strategy, and even if adherence were 30% higher than with other strategies, it would not be a cost-effective alternative. At a substantially reduced reimbursement rate ($6-18), two models found that triennial mtSDNA testing was an efficient and potentially cost-effective screening option.

conclusionsCompared to no screening, triennial mtSDNA screening reduces CRC incidence and mortality at acceptable costs. However, compared to nearly all other CRC screening strategies reimbursed by CMS it is less effective and considerably more costly, making it an inefficient screening option.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNADNA, NeoplasmEarly Detection of CancerFecesAgedAged, 80 and overColorectal NeoplasmsCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHumansMaleMass ScreeningMedicareSensitivity and SpecificityUnited StatesBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNADNA, Neoplasm

Identifiers

PMID31483796
PMCPMC6726189

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.