Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31481618›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2019

Historical records reveal the distinctive associations of human disturbance and extreme climate change with local extinction of mammals.

Xinru Wan, Guangshun Jiang, Chuan Yan, Fangliang He, Rongsheng Wen, Jiayin Gu, Xinhai Li, Jianzhang Ma, Nils Chr Stenseth, Zhibin Zhang

Open access · bronzeAbstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
6.5field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 83 citations in OpenAlex.

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  15. A hot topic at the environment-health nexus: investigating the impact of climate change on infectious diseases.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022
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  17. Is Yuan in China's Three Gorges a Gibbon or a Langur?International journal of primatology · 2022
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  18. Timing outweighs magnitude of rainfall in shaping population dynamics of a small mammal species in steppe grassland.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
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  19. Article
  20. Museum genomics reveals the rapid decline and extinction of Australian rodents since European settlement.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Xinru WanState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100101 Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-8189-2033
Guangshun JiangFeline Research Center of National Forestry and Grassland Administration, College of Wildlife and Protected Areas, Northeast Forestry University, 150040 Harbin, China.
Chuan YanState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100101 Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6669-432X
Fangliang HeECNU-Alberta Joint Lab for Biodiversity Study, Tiantong Forest Ecosystem National Observation and Research Station, School of Ecology and Environmental Science, East China Normal University, 200241 Shanghai, China.
Rongsheng WenNational Science Library, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100190 Beijing, China.
Jiayin GuFeline Research Center of National Forestry and Grassland Administration, College of Wildlife and Protected Areas, Northeast Forestry University, 150040 Harbin, China.
Xinhai LiState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100101 Beijing, China.
Jianzhang MaFeline Research Center of National Forestry and Grassland Administration, College of Wildlife and Protected Areas, Northeast Forestry University, 150040 Harbin, China.
Nils Chr StensethCentre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis, Department of Biosciences, University of Oslo, N-0316 Oslo, Norway.
Zhibin ZhangState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100101 Beijing, China; zhangzb@ioz.ac.cn.ORCID 0000-0002-1580-9692
Chinese Academy of Sciences · CNNortheast Forestry University · CNNational Science Library · CNUniversity of Alberta · CAUniversity of Oslo · NO

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Accelerated anthropogenic impacts and climatic changes are widely considered to be responsible for unprecedented species extinction. However, determining their effects on extinction is challenging owing to the lack of long-term data with high spatial and temporal resolution. In this study, using historical occurrence records of 11 medium- to large-sized mammal species or groups of species in China from 905 BC to AD 2006, we quantified the distinctive associations of anthropogenic stressors (represented by cropland coverage and human population density) and climatic stressors (represented by air temperature) with the local extinction of these mammals. We found that both intensified human disturbances and extreme climate change were associated with the increased local extinction of the study mammals. In the cold phase (the premodern period of China), climate cooling was positively associated with increased local extinction, while in the warm phase (the modern period) global warming was associated with increased local extinction. Interactive effects between human disturbance and temperature change with the local extinction of elephants, rhinos, pandas, and water deer were found. Large-sized mammals, such as elephants, rhinos, and pandas, showed earlier and larger population declines than small-sized ones. The local extinction sensitivities of these mammals to the human population density and standardized temperature were estimated during 1700 to 2000. The quantitative evidence for anthropogenic and climatic associations with mammalian extinction provided insights into the driving processes of species extinction, which has important implications for biodiversity conservation under accelerating global changes.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeExtinction, BiologicalPopulation DensityAnimalsBiodiversityEcosystemGlobal WarmingHistory, 15th CenturyHistory, 16th CenturyHistory, 17th CenturyHistory, 18th CenturyHistory, 19th CenturyHistory, 20th CenturyHistory, AncientHistory, MedievalHuman Activitiesclimate changeconservationhuman disturbancelocal extinctionmammals

Identifiers

PMID31481618
PMCPMC6754601
OpenAlexW2971389740

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.