Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31471787›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of clinical oncology2020

External validation of a postoperative nomogram for the prediction of disease-specific survival in patients with papillary renal cell carcinoma using a large multicenter database.

Stefan Zastrow, Laura-Maria Krabbe, Ingmar Wolff, Umberto Capitanio, Tobias Klatte, Thorsten Ecke, Nina Huck, Hendrik Borgmann, Anna Scavuzzo, Luca Cindolo and 11 more

Abstract readValidation Study
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In one paragraph

Article in International journal of clinical oncology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors.

Stefan ZastrowDepartment of Urology, University Hospital "Carl Gustav Carus", Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany. stefzastrow@me.com.
Laura-Maria KrabbeDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Muenster, Muenster, Germany.
Ingmar WolffDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Greifswald, Greifswald, Germany.
Umberto CapitanioDepartment of Urology, San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
Tobias KlatteDepartment of Urology, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Hills Road, Cambridge, CB2 0QQ, UK.
Thorsten EckeDepartment of Urology, Hospital Bad Saarow, Bad Saarow, Germany.
Nina HuckDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Mannheim, Mannheim, Germany.
Hendrik BorgmannDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Mainz, Mainz, Germany.
Anna ScavuzzoDepartment of Urology, Instituto Nacional de Cancerologia-INCan, Mexico City, Mexico.
Luca CindoloDepartment of Urology, ASL Abruzzo2, "S. Pio da Pietrelcina" Hospital, Vasto, Italy.
Luigi SchipsDepartment of Urology, ASL Abruzzo2, Chieti, Italy.
Cristian SurcelCentre of Urological Surgery, Dialysis and Renal Transplantation, Fundeni Clinical Institute, Bucharest, Romania.
Cristian MirvaldCentre of Urological Surgery, Dialysis and Renal Transplantation, Fundeni Clinical Institute, Bucharest, Romania.
Antoni Vilaseca CaboHospital Clínic, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Mireia MusqueraHospital Clínic, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Georg HuttererDepartment of Urology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Kristyna ProchazkovaDepartment of Urology, Faculty of Medicine, Charles University, Pilsen, Czech Republic.
Christian StiefDepartment of Urology, LMU Munich, Grosshadern, Munich, Germany.
Manfred WirthDepartment of Urology, University Hospital "Carl Gustav Carus", Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
Matthias MayDepartment of Urology, Klinikum St. Elisabeth, Straubing, Germany.
Sabine Brookman-MayDepartment of Urology, LMU Munich, Grosshadern, Munich, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeBased on data retrieved from a comprehensive multicenter database, we externally validated a published postoperative nomogram for the prediction of disease-specific survival (DSS) in patients with papillary renal cell carcinoma (papRCC).

methodsA multicenter database containing data of 2325 patients with surgically treated papRCC was used as validation cohort. After exclusion of patients with missing data and patients included in the development cohort, 1372 patients were included in the final analysis. DSS-probabilities according to the nomogram were calculated and compared to actual DSS-probabilities. Subsequently, calibration plots and decision curve analyses were applied.

resultsThe median follow-up was 38 months (IQR 11.8-80.7). Median DSS was not reached. The c-index of the nomogram was 0.71 (95% CI 0.60-0.83). A sensitivity analysis including only patients operated after 1998 delivered a c-index of 0.84 (95% CI 0.77-0.92). Calibration plots showed slight underestimation of nomogram-predicted DSS in probability ranges below 90%: median nomogram-predicted 5-year DSS in the range below 90% was 55% (IQR 20-80), but the median actual 5-year DSS in the same group was 58% (95% CI 52-65). Decision-curve analysis showed a positive net-benefit for probability ranges between a DSS probability of 5% and 85%.

conclusionsThe nomogram performance was satisfactory for almost all DSS probabilities; hence it can be recommended for application in clinical routine and for counseling of patients with papRCC.

Indexed as

NomogramsAgedCarcinoma, Renal CellCohort StudiesDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansKidney NeoplasmsLymphatic MetastasisMaleMiddle AgedMulticenter Studies as TopicPostoperative PeriodPrognosisNomogramPapillaryPrognosisRenal cell carcinoma

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.