Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31464014›Full record

ArticleHealth economics2019

Long-distance effects of epidemics: Assessing the link between the 2014 West Africa Ebola outbreak and U.S. exports and employment.

Deliana Kostova, Cynthia H Cassell, John T Redd, Desmond E Williams, Tushar Singh, Lise D Martel, Rebecca E Bunnell

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health economics, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. COVID-19 health policy evaluation: integrating health and economic perspectives with a data envelopment analysis approach.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2022
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. The nCOVID-19 and financial stress in the USA: health is wealth.Environment, development and sustainability · 2021
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Deliana KostovaDivision of Global Health Protection, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.ORCID 0000-0003-2414-0166
Cynthia H CassellDivision of Global Health Protection, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
John T ReddDivision of Global Health Protection, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Desmond E WilliamsDivision of Global Health Protection, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Tushar SinghDivision of Global Health Protection, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Lise D MartelDivision of Global Health Protection, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Rebecca E BunnellDivision of Global Health Protection, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Although the economic consequences of epidemic outbreaks to affected areas are often well documented, little is known about how these might carry over into the economies of unaffected regions. In the absence of direct pathogen transmission, global trade is one mechanism through which geographically distant epidemics could reverberate to unaffected countries. This study explores the link between global public health events and U.S. economic outcomes by evaluating the role of the 2014 West Africa Ebola outbreak in U.S. exports and exports-supported U.S. jobs, 2005-2016. Estimates were obtained using difference-in-differences models where sub-Saharan Africa countries were assigned to treatment and comparison groups based on their Ebola transmission status, with controls for observed and unobserved time-variant factors that may independently influence trends in trade. Multiple model specification checks were performed to ensure analytic robustness. The year of peak transmission, 2014, was estimated to result in $1.08 billion relative reduction in U.S. merchandise exports to Ebola-affected countries, whereas estimated losses in exports-supported U.S. jobs exceeded 1,200 in 2014 and 11,000 in 2015. These findings suggest that remote disruptions in health security might play a role in U.S. economic indicators, demonstrating the interconnectedness between global health and aspects of the global economy and informing the relevance of health security efforts.

Indexed as

Africa, WesternCommerceEmploymentEpidemicsHemorrhagic Fever, EbolaHumansInternational CooperationUnited Statesepidemicsglobal healthhealth securitytrade

Identifiers

PMID31464014
PMCPMC6852535

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.