Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31462487›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2019

Gout and the risk of advanced chronic kidney disease in the UK health system: a national cohort study.

Austin G Stack, Michelle Elizabeth Johnson, Betina Blak, Alyssa Klein, Lewis Carpenter, Robert Morlock, Andrew R Maguire, Victoria L Parsons

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 51 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Microbiome-associated human genetic variants impact phenome-wide disease risk.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Medicinal fungusFrontiers in pharmacology · 2022
    Article
  17. A glance into the future of gout.Therapeutic advances in musculoskeletal disease · 2022
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Austin G StackGraduate Entry Medical School & Health Research Institute, University of Limerick, Limerick, Ireland austin.stack@ul.ie.
Michelle Elizabeth JohnsonOXON Epidemiology, London, UK.
Betina BlakAstraZeneca, Luton, UK.
Alyssa KleinAstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, Maryland, USA.
Lewis CarpenterOXON Epidemiology, London, UK.
Robert MorlockYourCareChoice, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Andrew R MaguireOXON Epidemiology, London, UK.
Victoria L ParsonsOXON Epidemiology, London, UK.
MRC Epidemiology Unit · GBAstraZeneca (United Kingdom) · GBAstraZeneca (United States) · USUniversity of Limerick · IE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveEvaluate the association between gout and risk of advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD).

designRetrospective matched cohort study.

settingUK Clinical Practice Research Datalink.

participantsThe analysis included data for 68 897 patients with gout and 554 964 matched patients without gout. Patients were aged ≥18 years, registered at UK practices, had ≥12 months of clinical data and had data linked with Hospital Episode Statistics. Patients were excluded for history of advanced CKD, juvenile gout, cancer, HIV, tumour lysis syndrome, Lesch-Nyhan syndrome or familial Mediterranean fever. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Advanced CKD was defined as first occurrence of: (1) dialysis, kidney transplant, diagnosis of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) or stage 5 CKD (diagnostic codes in Read system or International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision); (2) estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <10 mL/min/1.73 m²; (3) doubling of serum creatinine from baseline and (4) death associated with CKD.

resultsAdvanced CKD incidence was higher for patients with gout (8.54 per 1000 patient-years; 95% CI 8.26 to 8.83) versus without gout (4.08; 95% CI 4.00 to 4.16). Gout was associated with higher advanced CKD risk in both unadjusted analysis (HR, 2.00; 95% CI 1.92 to 2.07) and after adjustment (HR, 1.29; 95% CI 1.23 to 1.35). Association was strongest for ESKD (HR, 2.13; 95% CI 1.73 to 2.61) and was present for eGFR <10 mL/min/1.73 m² (HR, 1.45; 95% CI 1.30 to 1.61) and serum creatinine doubling (HR, 1.13; 95% CI 1.08 to 1.19) but not CKD-associated death (HR, 1.14; 95% CI 0.99 to 1.31). Association of gout with advanced CKD was replicated in propensity-score matched analysis (HR, 1.23; 95% CI 1.17 to 1.29) and analysis limited to patients with incident gout (HR, 1.28; 95% CI 1.22 to 1.35).

conclusionsGout is associated with elevated risk of CKD progression. Future studies should investigate whether controlling gout is protective and reduces CKD risk.

Indexed as

AgedCreatinineDatabases, FactualDisease ProgressionFemaleGlomerular Filtration RateGoutHumansIncidenceKidney Failure, ChronicKidney TransplantationMaleMiddle AgedPropensity ScoreRenal DialysisRenal Insufficiency, ChronicCreatininechronic renal failuredialysisend-stage renal failureepidemiology

Identifiers

PMID31462487
PMCPMC6720233
OpenAlexW2970545733

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.