Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31462481›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2019

Trajectories of future sickness absence and disability pension days among individuals with a new sickness absence spell due to osteoarthritis diagnosis ≥21 days: a prospective cohort study with 13-month follow-up.

Kristin Farrants, Emilie Friberg, Sara Sjölund, Kristina Alexanderson

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 22% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Kristin FarrantsDivision of Insurance Medicine, Karolinska Institutet Department of Clinical Neuroscience, SE-171 77, Stockholm, Sweden kristin.farrants@ki.se.ORCID 0000-0001-9595-6627
Emilie FribergDivision of Insurance Medicine, Karolinska Institutet Department of Clinical Neuroscience, SE-171 77, Stockholm, Sweden.
Sara SjölundDivision of Insurance Medicine, Karolinska Institutet Department of Clinical Neuroscience, SE-171 77, Stockholm, Sweden.
Kristina AlexandersonDivision of Insurance Medicine, Karolinska Institutet Department of Clinical Neuroscience, SE-171 77, Stockholm, Sweden.
Karolinska Institutet · SERöda Korsets Högskola · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionOsteoarthritis is one of the most common types of musculoskeletal diagnoses also among working-age populations, and often leads to long-term sickness absence (SA) spells or even disability pension (DP). THE

aimwas to identify future trajectories of days of SA and/or DP among people with a new SA spell due to osteoarthritis that became ≥21 long, and to investigate sociodemographic and morbidity characteristics of individuals in identified trajectories.

methodsThis is a prospective population-based cohort study using data from several Swedish registers. We studied future SA/DP among all 4894 individuals aged 16-64 years who, during the first 6 months of 2010, had an incident SA spell due to osteoarthritis (ICD-10 codes M15-19) ≥21 days. Using group-based trajectory modelling, we identified trajectories of mean SA/DP net days/month and 95% CIs for the 13 months from the 21st day of the index SA spell. Sociodemographic and morbidity characteristics were compared by χ

resultsWe identified five trajectories of SA/DP days: 'fast decrease' (36% of the cohort), 'medium fast decrease' (29%), 'slow decrease' (15%), 'fluctuating' (12%) and 'late decrease' (8%). Individuals in the two trajectories who still had SA/DP days at end of follow-up (late decrease and fluctuating) were more likely to be older, born outside the EU and have indicators of more severe morbidity than those in the other trajectories.

conclusionFive trajectories of future SA/DP days were identified; 80% of the cohort belonged to trajectories with no SA/DP by the end of follow-up. Identifying trajectories of future SA/DP provides new insights regarding the developments of SA/DP over time among people on SA due to osteoarthritis; not only days in the initial SA spell but also in new spells during follow-up need to be included for a better understanding.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesForecastingHumansMaleMiddle AgedOsteoarthritisPensionsPersons with DisabilitiesProspective StudiesSick LeaveSwedenYoung Adultdisability pensionosteoarthritisreturn to worksick leave

Identifiers

PMID31462481
PMCPMC6719767
OpenAlexW2970780625

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.