Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31455831›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2019

Prediction of future gastric cancer risk using a machine learning algorithm and comprehensive medical check-up data: A case-control study.

Junichi Taninaga, Yu Nishiyama, Kazutoshi Fujibayashi, Toshiaki Gunji, Noriko Sasabe, Kimiko Iijima, Toshio Naito

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 47 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
47citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

47 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  17. Risk prediction model for gastric cancer within 5 years in healthy Korean adults.Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Junichi TaninagaFaculty of Informatics and Engineering, The University of Electro-Communications, Tokyo, Japan.
Yu NishiyamaFaculty of Informatics and Engineering, The University of Electro-Communications, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9158-7131
Kazutoshi FujibayashiDepartment of General Medicine, School of Medicine, Juntendo University, Tokyo, Japan. kfujiba@juntendo.ac.jp.
Toshiaki GunjiCenter for Preventive Medicine, NTT Medical Center Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Noriko SasabeCenter for Preventive Medicine, NTT Medical Center Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Kimiko IijimaCenter for Preventive Medicine, NTT Medical Center Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Toshio NaitoDepartment of General Medicine, School of Medicine, Juntendo University, Tokyo, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A comprehensive screening method using machine learning and many factors (biological characteristics, Helicobacter pylori infection status, endoscopic findings and blood test results), accumulated daily as data in hospitals, could improve the accuracy of screening to classify patients at high or low risk of developing gastric cancer. We used XGBoost, a classification method known for achieving numerous winning solutions in data analysis competitions, to capture nonlinear relations among many input variables and outcomes using the boosting approach to machine learning. Longitudinal and comprehensive medical check-up data were collected from 25,942 participants who underwent multiple endoscopies from 2006 to 2017 at a single facility in Japan. The participants were classified into a case group (y = 1) or a control group (y = 0) if gastric cancer was or was not detected, respectively, during a 122-month period. Among 1,431 total participants (89 cases and 1,342 controls), 1,144 (80%) were randomly selected for use in training 10 classification models; the remaining 287 (20%) were used to evaluate the models. The results showed that XGBoost outperformed logistic regression and showed the highest area under the curve value (0.899). Accumulating more data in the facility and performing further analyses including other input variables may help expand the clinical utility.

Indexed as

Machine LearningAdultAgedArea Under CurveBayes TheoremCase-Control StudiesEndoscopy, GastrointestinalFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsROC CurveStomach Neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID31455831
PMCPMC6712020

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.