Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31452601›Full record

ArticleSubstance abuse : research and treatment2019

Predicting Dropout from Inpatient Substance Use Disorder Treatment: A Prospective Validation Study of the OQ-Analyst.

Hanne H Brorson, Espen Ajo Arnevik, Kim Rand

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Substance abuse : research and treatment, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01891045 (Addiction Treatment Dropout Prevention - Impact of Online Patient Feedback), which is not on this map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01891045 nacompletednot on this map

Addiction Treatment Dropout Prevention - Impact of Online Patient Feedback (OQ-45.2) to Therapist

TypeinterventionalSponsorOslo University HospitalRan2011 to 2023Enrolled160ConditionsDrug Addiction, Drug AbuseArmsOQ-45.2 no feedback, OQ-45.2
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Substance Use Disorder Treatment Outcomes: Methodological Overview of Metrics and Criteria.International journal of methods in psychiatric research · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Hanne H BrorsonDepartment of Psychology, University of Oslo, Norway, Oslo.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6500-4035
Espen Ajo ArnevikDepartment of Substance use Disorder Treatment, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo.
Kim RandHealth Services Research Unit, Akershus University Hospital, Lørenskog, Norway.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsThere is an urgent need for tools allowing therapists to identify patients at risk of dropout. The OQ-Analyst, an increasingly popular computer-based system, is used to track patient progress and predict dropout. However, we have been unable to find empirical documentation regarding the ability of OQ-Analyst to predict dropout. The aim of the present study was to perform the first direct test of the ability of the OQ-Analyst to predict dropout.

designPatients were consecutively enlisted in a naturalistic, prospective, longitudinal clinical trial. As interventions based on feedback from the OQ-Analyst could alter the outcome and potentially render the prediction wrong, feedback was withheld from patients and therapists.

settingThe study was carried out during 2011-2013 in an inpatient substance use disorder clinic in Oslo, Norway.

participantsPatients aged 18 to 28 years who met criteria for a principal diagnosis of mental or behavioural disorder due to psychoactive substance use (ICD 10; F10.2-F19.2). MEASUREMENTS: Red signal (predictions of high risk) from the Norwegian version of the OQ-Analyst were compared with dropouts identified using patient medical records as the standard for predictive accuracy.

findingsA total of 40 patients completed 647 OQ assessments resulting in 46 red signals. There were 27 observed dropouts, only one of which followed after a red signal. Patients indicated by the OQ-Analyst as being at high risk of dropping out were no more likely to do so than those indicated as being at low risk. Random intercept logistic regression predicting dropout from a red signal was statistically nonsignificant. Bayes factor supports no association.

conclusionsThe study does not support the predictive ability of the OQ-Analyst for the present patient population. In the absence of empirical evidence of predictive ability, it may be better not to assume such ability.

Indexed as

attritiondropoutfeedback technologynegative treatment outcomeOQ-45OQ-Analystpredictionprogress monitoringsubstance use disorder treatment

Identifiers

PMID31452601
PMCPMC6698986

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.