Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31451012›Full record

ArticleClinical trials (London, England)2019

Accrual Prediction Program: A web-based clinical trials tool for monitoring and predicting accrual for early-phase cancer studies.

Junhao Liu, Jo A Wick, Dinesh Pal Mudaranthakam, Yu Jiang, Matthew S Mayo, Byron J Gajewski

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical trials (London, England), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Junhao LiuDepartment of Biostatistics & Data Science, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5071-7454
Jo A WickDepartment of Biostatistics & Data Science, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA.
Dinesh Pal MudaranthakamDepartment of Biostatistics & Data Science, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA.
Yu JiangDivision of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, The University of Memphis, Memphis, TN, USA.
Matthew S MayoDepartment of Biostatistics & Data Science, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA.
Byron J GajewskiDepartment of Biostatistics & Data Science, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA.

Funding

Transgenic & Gene-Targeting Shared ResourceP30CA168524 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF KANSAS MEDICAL CENTER · PI NICOLE L NOLLEN · 2012 to 2026
$40.1M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA168524
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMonitoring subject recruitment is key to the success of a clinical trial. Accordingly, researchers have developed accrual-monitoring tools to support the design and conduct of trials. At an institutional level, delays in identifying studies with high risk of accrual failure can lead to inefficient and costly trials with little chances of meeting study objectives. Comprehensive accrual monitoring is necessary to the success of the research enterprise.

methodsThis article describes the design and implementation of the University of Kansas Cancer Center Accrual Prediction Program, a web-based platform was developed to support comprehensive accrual monitoring and prediction for all active clinical trials. The Accrual Prediction Program provides information on accrual, including the predicted completion date, predicted number of accrued subjects during the pre-specified accrual period, and the probability of achieving accrual targets. It relies on a Bayesian accrual prediction model to combine protocol information with real-time trial enrollment data and disseminates results via web application.

resultsFirst released in 2016, the Accrual Prediction Program summarizes enrollment information for active studies categorized by various trial attributes. The web application supports real-time evidence-based decision making for strategic resource allocation and study management of over 120 ongoing clinical trials at the University of Kansas Cancer Center.

conclusionThe Accrual Prediction Program makes accessing comprehensive accrual information manageable at an institutional level. Cancer centers or even entire institutions can reproduce the Accrual Prediction Program to achieve real-time comprehensive monitoring and prediction of subject accrual to aid investigators and administrators in the design, conduct, and management of clinical trials.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalPatient SelectionBayes TheoremCancer Care FacilitiesClinical Trials as TopicHumansInternetKansasNeoplasmsResearch DesignCancer centerpatient recruitmentsubject accrualweb-based tool

Identifiers

PMID31451012
PMCPMC6904514

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.