Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31450910›Full record

ArticleAsian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP2019

Gail Model Underestimates Breast Cancer Risk in Thai Population.

Doonyapat Sa-Nguanraksa, Thanyawat Sasanakietkul, Chayanuch O-Charoenrat, Anchalee Kulprom, Pornchai O-Charoenrat

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. The role ofTranslational cancer research · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Doonyapat Sa-NguanraksaDivision of Head Neck and Breast Surgery, Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand. Email: pornchai.och@mahidol.ac.th
Thanyawat SasanakietkulDivision of Head Neck and Breast Surgery, Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand. Email: pornchai.och@mahidol.ac.th
Chayanuch O-CharoenratDivision of Head Neck and Breast Surgery, Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand. Email: pornchai.och@mahidol.ac.th
Anchalee KulpromDivision of Head Neck and Breast Surgery, Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand. Email: pornchai.och@mahidol.ac.th
Pornchai O-CharoenratDivision of Head Neck and Breast Surgery, Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand. Email: pornchai.och@mahidol.ac.th
Siriraj Hospital · THMahidol University · TH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The Gail model is the most widely used method for breast cancer risk estimation. This model has been studied and verified for its validity in many groups but there has yet to be a study to validate the Gail model in a Thai population. This study aims to evaluate whether the Gail model can accurately calculate the risk of breast cancer among Thai women. Methods: The subjects were recruited from the Division of Head, Neck, and Breast Surgery, Department of Surgery, Siriraj Hospital. The patients attending the division were asked to enroll in the study and complete questionnaires. Gail model scores were then calculated. Relationships between parameters were examined using the Pearson’s chi-square test, Fisher’s exact test, and independent-samples t-test. Results: There were 514 women recruited. Age, parity, age at first-live birth, and history of atypical ductal hyperplasia (ADH) were significant risk factors for breast cancer. The 5-year and lifetime risk score for breast cancer calculated by the Gail model were not significantly different between the patient and the control subjects. The proportions of the subjects with lifetime risk ≥20% were significantly higher in breast cancer patients (p=0.049). Conclusion: The Gail model underestimated the risk of breast cancer in Thai women. Calibration of the model is still required before adoption in Thai population.

Indexed as

Genetic Predisposition to DiseaseModels, StatisticalAdultBreast NeoplasmsFemaleHumansMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsThailandatypical hyperplasiabreast cancerGail modelRisk AssessmentThai

Identifiers

PMID31450910
PMCPMC6852814
OpenAlexW2969852947

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.