Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31443726›Full record

ArticleTrials2019

Follow up after sample size re-estimation in a breast cancer randomized trial for disease-free survival.

Erinn M Hade, Gregory S Young, Richard R Love

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Trials, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00201851 (Phase III Randomized Study of Immediate Versus Luteal Phase Adjuvant Oophorectomy and Tamoxifen in Premenopausal Women With Hormone Receptor-positive Breast Cancer), which is not on this map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 32% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00201851 phase3completednot on this map

Phase III Randomized Study of Immediate Versus Luteal Phase Adjuvant Oophorectomy and Tamoxifen in Premenopausal Women With Hormone Receptor-positive Breast Cancer

TypeinterventionalSponsorInternational Breast Cancer Research FoundationRan2004 to 2013Enrolled740ConditionsBreast CancerArmsTamoxifen, Surgery: Oophorectomy
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Erinn M HadeDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Center for Biostatistics, College of Medicine, The Ohio State University, 1800 Cannon Drive, 320 Lincoln Tower, Columbus, OH, 43210, USA. hade.2@osu.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8977-6443
Gregory S YoungDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Center for Biostatistics, College of Medicine, The Ohio State University, 1800 Cannon Drive, 320 Lincoln Tower, Columbus, OH, 43210, USA.
Richard R LoveDepartment of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science, Marquette University, Milwaukee, WI, USA.
The Ohio State University · USMarquette University · US

Funding

Translational Therapeutics Research Program (TT)P30CA016058 · NCI · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY · PI Tasleem J Padamsee · 1985 to 2026
$132.3M
The Ohio State University Center for clinical and Translational ScienceUL1TR001070 · NCATS · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY · PI JACKSON, REBECCA D · 2013 to 2017
$22.6M
Luteal Adjuvant Oophorectomy in Vietnamese Breast CancerR01CA097375 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN MADISON · PI LOVE, RICHARD REED · 2004 to 2012
$5.1M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1TR001070NCI NIH HHS 5P30 CA016058-35NCI NIH HHS R01CA097375
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhile the clinical trials and statistical methodology literature on sample size re-estimation (SSRE) is robust, evaluation of SSRE procedures following the completion of a clinical trial has been sparsely reported. In blinded sample size re-estimation, only nuisance parameters are re-estimated, and the blinding of the current trial treatment effect is preserved. Blinded re-estimation procedures are well-accepted by regulatory agencies and funders. We review our experience of sample size re-estimation in a large international, National Institutes of Health funded clinical trial for adjuvant breast cancer treatment, and evaluate our blinded sample size re-estimation procedure for this time-to-event trial. We evaluated the SSRE procedure by examining assumptions made during the re-estimation process, estimates resulting from re-estimation, and the impact on final trial results with and without the addition of participants, following sample size re-estimation.

methodsWe compared the control group failure probabilities estimated at the time of SSRE to estimates used in the original planning, to the final un-blinded control group failure probability estimates for those included in the SSRE procedure (SSRE cohort), and to the final total control group failure probability estimates. The impact of re-estimation on the final comparison between randomized treatment groups is evaluated for those in the originally planned cohort (n = 340) and for the combination of those recruited in the originally planned cohort and those added after re-estimation (n = 509).

resultsVery little difference is observed between the originally planned cohort and all randomized patients in the control group failure probabilities over time or in the overall hazard ratio estimating treatment effect (originally planned cohort HR 1.25 (0.86, 1.79); all randomized cohort HR 1.24 95% CI (0.91, 1.68)). At the time of blinded SSRE, the estimated control group failure probabilities at 3 years (0.24) and 5 years (0.40) were similar to those for the SSRE cohort once un-blinded (3 years, 0.22 (0.16, 0.30); 5 years, 0.33 (0.26, 0.41)).

conclusionsWe found that our re-estimation procedure performed reasonably well in estimating the control group failure probabilities at the time of re-estimation. Particularly for time-to-event outcomes, pre-planned blinded SSRE procedures may be the best option to aid in maintaining power.

trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00201851 . Registered on 9 September 2005. Retrospectively registered.

Indexed as

Endpoint DeterminationMastectomyOvariectomyPatient SelectionSample SizeBreast NeoplasmsData Interpretation, StatisticalFemaleHumansProbabilityProgression-Free SurvivalRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicTime FactorsBlinded sample size re-estimationBreast cancerControl group failureTime to event

Identifiers

PMID31443726
PMCPMC6708130
OpenAlexW2969356937

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.