Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31439454›Full record

ArticleEpidemics2020

A framework for evaluating the effects of observational type and quality on vector-borne disease forecast.

Teresa K Yamana, Jeffrey Shaman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. A machine learning forecasting model for COVID-19 pandemic in India.Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment : research journal · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Teresa K YamanaDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, 10032, United States. Electronic address: tky2104@cumc.columbia.edu.
Jeffrey ShamanDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, 10032, United States.

Funding

True Metal fac coreP30ES009089 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI MATTHEW S PERZANOWSKI · 1998 to 2026
$44.7M
Development and Dissemination of Operational Real-Time Respiratory Virus ForecastU01GM110748 · NIGMS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SHAMAN, JEFFREY L · 2014 to 2018
$2.6M
NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES009089NIGMS NIH HHS U01 GM110748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Recent research has advanced infectious disease forecasting from an aspiration to an operational reality. The accuracy of such operational forecasting depends on the quantity and quality of observations available for system optimization. In particular, for forecasting systems that use combined mechanistic model-inference approaches, a broad suite of epidemiological observations could be utilized, if these data were available in near real time. In cases where such data are limited, an in silica, synthetic framework for evaluating the potential benefits of observations on forecasting accuracy can allow researchers and public health officials to more optimally allocate resources for disease surveillance and monitoring. Here, we demonstrate the application of such a framework, using a model-inference system designed to predict dengue, and identify the type and quality of observations that would improve forecasting accuracy.

Indexed as

ForecastingPublic HealthCommunicable DiseasesDengueHumansVector Borne DiseasesDengueDisease surveillance dataInfectious disease forecastingInfectious disease modelMosquito-borne diseaseVector-borne diseaseZika

Identifiers

PMID31439454
PMCPMC7315892

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.