Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31437221›Full record

ArticlePloS one2019

Scoring colorectal cancer risk with an artificial neural network based on self-reportable personal health data.

Bradley J Nartowt, Gregory R Hart, David A Roffman, Xavier Llor, Issa Ali, Wazir Muhammad, Ying Liang, Jun Deng

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 51 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Bradley J NartowtDepartment of Therapeutic Radiology, School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-8066-7160
Gregory R HartDepartment of Therapeutic Radiology, School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
David A RoffmanSun Nuclear Corporation, Melbourne, FL, United States of America.
Xavier LlorDepartment of Digestive Diseases, School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Issa AliDepartment of Therapeutic Radiology, School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Wazir MuhammadDepartment of Therapeutic Radiology, School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-0240-2930
Ying LiangDepartment of Therapeutic Radiology, School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Jun DengDepartment of Therapeutic Radiology, School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Yale University · USSun Nuclear (United States) · US

Funding

Tracking Organ Doses for Patient Safety in Radiation TherapyR01EB022589 · NIBIB · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI DENG, JUN · 2016 to 2018
$1.1M
NIBIB NIH HHS R01 EB022589
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is third in prevalence and mortality among all cancers in the US. Currently, the United States Preventative Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommends anyone ages 50-75 and/or with a family history to be screened for CRC. To improve screening specificity and sensitivity, we have built an artificial neural network (ANN) trained on 12 to 14 categories of personal health data from the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS). Years 1997-2016 of the NHIS contain 583,770 respondents who had never received a diagnosis of any cancer and 1409 who had received a diagnosis of CRC within 4 years of taking the survey. The trained ANN has sensitivity of 0.57 ± 0.03, specificity of 0.89 ± 0.02, positive predictive value of 0.0075 ± 0.0003, negative predictive value of 0.999 ± 0.001, and concordance of 0.80 ± 0.05 per the guidelines of Transparent Reporting of Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) level 2a, comparable to current risk-scoring methods. To demonstrate clinical applicability, both USPSTF guidelines and the trained ANN are used to stratify respondents to the 2017 NHIS into low-, medium- and high-risk categories (TRIPOD levels 4 and 2b, respectively). The number of CRC respondents misclassified as low risk is decreased from 35% by screening guidelines to 5% by ANN (in 60 cases). The number of non-CRC respondents misclassified as high risk is decreased from 53% by screening guidelines to 6% by ANN (in 25,457 cases). Our results demonstrate a robustly-tested method of stratifying CRC risk that is non-invasive, cost-effective, and easy to implement publicly.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalNeural Networks, ComputerAgedCardiovascular DiseasesColorectal NeoplasmsDiabetes MellitusEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHealth StatusHealth SurveysHumansMaleMedical History TakingMiddle AgedPractice Guidelines as TopicPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID31437221
PMCPMC6705772
OpenAlexW2969911132

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.