Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31432326›Full record

ArticleJournal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract2020

Predicting Post-operative Complications in Crohn's Disease: an Appraisal of Clinical Scoring Systems and the NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator.

Kevin R McMahon, Kenneth D Allen, Anita Afzali, Syed Husain

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Article in Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 22% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Kevin R McMahonThe Ohio State University College of Medicine, Columbus, OH, USA.
Kenneth D AllenDepartment of Internal Medicine, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, OH, USA. kenneth.allen@osumc.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-0153-3250
Anita AfzaliInflammatory Bowel Disease Center, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, OH, USA.
Syed HusainDivision of Colon and Rectal Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, OH, USA.
The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center · USThe Ohio State University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSurgery is common in patients with Crohn's disease and can contribute significantly to patient morbidity. The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program surgical risk calculator (NSQIP-SRC) that is currently utilized to predict surgical risk does not take Crohn's disease into account and, as a result, seems to underestimate risk in this patient population. This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of the NSQIP-SRC in Crohn's disease patients and to evaluate the utility of disease severity scores in predicting surgical risk.

methodsBetween 2011 and 2017, there were 176 surgical cases involving Crohn's disease patients. Demographic data and 30-day surgical outcomes were collected. Disease severity scores including Harvey Bradshaw Index (HBI), Crohn's Disease Activity Index (CDAI), Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease (SES-CD), and NSQIP-SRC risk percentages were calculated.

resultsPatients in remission based on HBI had a complication rate of 8.57% (n = 3), while those with mild or moderate-severe disease had rates of 33.33% (n = 11) and 38.46% (n = 20) respectively (p = 0.0045). In multivariable analysis, those with mild (OR; 8.37, 95% CI; 1.64, 42.78; p = 0.011) or moderate-severe (OR; 11.69, 95% CI; 2.42, 56.46; p = 0.002) disease had increased odds of complication compared to remission. Complication rate was not associated with NSQIP-SRC percent risk of any complication.

conclusionNSQIP-SRC does not accurately predict risk in patients with CD undergoing surgery. Higher disease activity based on HBI is associated with increased odds of complication and may prove to be more predictive of surgical complication in the Crohn's patient population.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overCrohn DiseaseFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPostoperative ComplicationsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentSensitivity and SpecificitySeverity of Illness IndexCrohns diseaseHarvey Bradshaw IndexNSQIPSurgical outcomes

Identifiers

PMID31432326
OpenAlexW2969848959

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.