Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31431990›Full record

ArticleRheumatology advances in practice2019

Predicting disease progression and poor outcomes in patients with moderately active rheumatoid arthritis: a systematic review.

Christopher J Edwards, Patrick Kiely, Subhashini Arthanari, Sandeep Kiri, Julie Mount, Jane Barry, Catherine R Mitchell, Polly Field, Philip G Conaghan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Rheumatology advances in practice, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Christopher J EdwardsNIHR Clinical Research Facility, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton.
Patrick KielyRheumatology Department, St George's University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Subhashini ArthanariSAMETA (South Asia, Middle East, Turkey and Africa), Eli Lilly (Singapore) Pte Ltd, Singapore.
Sandeep KiriHealth Outcomes and HTA Department.
Julie MountGlobal Patient Outcomes and Real Word Evidence (GPORWE) International.
Jane BarryMedical Affairs, Eli Lilly and Company Ltd, Basingstoke.
Catherine R MitchellValue Demonstration Practice, Oxford PharmaGenesis Ltd, Oxford.
Polly FieldValue Demonstration Practice, Oxford PharmaGenesis Ltd, Oxford.
Philip G ConaghanLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds and NIHR Leeds Biomedical Research Centre, Leeds, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesAccess to biologic DMARDs for RA is often restricted to those with severe disease. This systematic review aimed to identify prognostic factors in patients with moderate disease activity who may be at risk of disease progression and poor clinical outcomes.

methodsMEDLINE, Embase and Cochrane databases were searched (final search 22 September 2017), and data from patients with moderate disease [28-joint DAS (DAS28) >3.2-≤5.1] were included. Studies were evaluated according to the measure(s) of progression/poor outcome used: radiographic, disease activity or other indicators.

resultsThe searches identified 274 publications, of which 30 were selected for data extraction. Fourteen studies were prioritized, because they specifically analysed patients with moderate RA. Nine studies reported radiographic progression outcomes for 3241 patients, three studies reported disease activity progression for 1516 patients, and two studies reported other relevant outcomes for 2094 patients. Prognostic factors with consistent evidence for progression/poor outcome prediction were as follows: DAS28 ≥ 4.2, the presence of anti-CCP antibodies, and power Doppler ultrasound score ≥1. Some predictors were specific to either disease activity or radiographic progression.

conclusionSeveral criteria used in standard clinical practice were identified that have the potential to inform the selection of patients with moderate RA who are at greater risk of a poor outcome. A combination of two or more of these factors might enhance their predictive potential. Further work is required to derive clinical decision rules incorporating these factors.

Indexed as

disease progressionmoderate disease activityprognostic factorsrheumatoid arthritissystematic review

Identifiers

PMID31431990
PMCPMC6649936

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.