Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31420790›Full record

ArticleJournal of occupational rehabilitation2020

Development of Prediction Models for Sickness Absence Due to Mental Disorders in the General Working Population.

Marieke F A van Hoffen, Giny Norder, Jos W R Twisk, Corné A M Roelen

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Journal of occupational rehabilitation, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  12. External validation of a prediction model and decision tree for sickness absence due to mental disorders.International archives of occupational and environmental health · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Marieke F A van HoffenDepartment of Research and Development, Human Total Care, Utrecht, The Netherlands. m.van.hoffen@humancapitalcare.nl.ORCID 0000-0003-1563-5327
Giny NorderDepartment of Research and Development, Human Total Care, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Jos W R TwiskDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, VU University Medical Center, VU University, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Corné A M RoelenDepartment of Research and Development, Human Total Care, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Purpose This study investigated if and how occupational health survey variables can be used to identify workers at risk of long-term sickness absence (LTSA) due to mental disorders. Methods Cohort study including 53,833 non-sicklisted participants in occupational health surveys between 2010 and 2013. Twenty-seven survey variables were included in a backward stepwise logistic regression analysis with mental LTSA at 1-year follow-up as outcome variable. The same variables were also used for decision tree analysis. Discrimination between participants with and without mental LTSA during follow-up was investigated by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC); the AUC was internally validated in 100 bootstrap samples. Results 30,857 (57%) participants had complete data for analysis; 450 (1.5%) participants had mental LTSA during follow-up. Discrimination by an 11-predictor logistic regression model (gender, marital status, economic sector, years employed at the company, role clarity, cognitive demands, learning opportunities, co-worker support, social support from family/friends, work satisfaction, and distress) was AUC = 0.713 (95% CI 0.692-0.732). A 3-node decision tree (distress, gender, work satisfaction, and work pace) also discriminated between participants with and without mental LTSA at follow-up (AUC = 0.709; 95% CI 0.615-0.804). Conclusions An 11-predictor regression model and a 3-node decision tree equally well identified workers at risk of mental LTSA. The decision tree provides better insight into the mental LTSA risk groups and is easier to use in occupational health care practice.

Indexed as

Mental DisordersOccupational HealthSick LeaveCohort StudiesHumansModels, StatisticalProspective StudiesRisk FactorsDecision-tree analysisHealth surveysLogistic regressionMental healthROC analysis

Identifiers

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.