Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31407641›Full record

ArticlePublic health nutrition2020

A comparison of the modelled impacts on CVD mortality if attainment of public health recommendations was achieved in metropolitan and rural Australia.

Laura Alston, Jane Jacobs, Steven Allender, Melanie Nichols

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Public health nutrition, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Digital behaviour change interventions to increase vegetable intake in adults: a systematic review.The international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Laura AlstonThe Global Obesity Centre (GLOBE), Deakin University Waterfront Campus, 1 Gheringhap Street, Geelong, VIC 3220, Australia.
Jane JacobsThe Global Obesity Centre (GLOBE), Deakin University Waterfront Campus, 1 Gheringhap Street, Geelong, VIC 3220, Australia.
Steven AllenderThe Global Obesity Centre (GLOBE), Deakin University Waterfront Campus, 1 Gheringhap Street, Geelong, VIC 3220, Australia.
Melanie NicholsThe Global Obesity Centre (GLOBE), Deakin University Waterfront Campus, 1 Gheringhap Street, Geelong, VIC 3220, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo (i) determine the proportion of deaths from CVD that could be avoided in both rural and metropolitan Australia if public health recommendations were met; (ii) assess the impact on the rural CVD mortality; and (iii) determine if policy priorities should be different by rurality for CVD prevention.

designA macro-simulation modelling study of population data. Population, risk factor and CVD death data stratified by rurality were analysed using the Preventable Risk Integrated Model. The baseline scenario was the current risk factor levels (including physical activity, smoking, diet and alcohol). The counterfactual scenario was the population levels of these risk factors expected if public health recommendations were met.

settingMetropolitan and rural Australia.

participantsRural- and metropolitan-dwelling adults in Australia.

resultsBoth populations would experience similar relative declines in the proportion of deaths from CVD. A total of 14 892 deaths from CVD would be avoided annually; with similar declines in the proportions of deaths by rurality. Critically, the order of policy priorities for public health recommendation attainment would differ by rurality CVD prevention, with addressing fat intakes being a higher priority in rural areas.

conclusionsAchieving public health recommendations in Australia would result in large declines in CVD mortality. Despite declines in overall CVD mortality under this scenario, an inequality in CVD burden would persist for rural populations. The order of risk factor priorities would differ by rurality.

Indexed as

Nutrition PolicyAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAlcohol DrinkingAustraliaCardiovascular DiseasesDietExerciseFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMyocardial IschemiaPublic HealthCVDDietary intakeIHDInequalitiesPreventionRisk factorsRural

Identifiers

PMID31407641
PMCPMC10201353

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.