Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31402008›Full record

Trial reportThe Lancet. Global health2019

Antibiotic prophylaxis in the surgical management of miscarriage in low-income countries: a cost-effectiveness analysis of the AIMS trial.

Ilias Goranitis, David M Lissauer, Arri Coomarasamy, Amie Wilson, Jane Daniels, Lee Middleton, Jonathan Bishop, Catherine A Hewitt, Andrew D Weeks, Chisale Mhango and 5 more

Open access · goldAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in The Lancet. Global health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

Ilias GoranitisHealth Economics Unit, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
David M LissauerInstitute of Metabolism and Systems Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Arri CoomarasamyInstitute of Metabolism and Systems Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Amie WilsonClinical Trials Unit, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Jane DanielsSchool of Health Sciences, University of Nottingham, UK.
Lee MiddletonClinical Trials Unit, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Jonathan BishopClinical Trials Unit, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Catherine A HewittClinical Trials Unit, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Andrew D WeeksInstitute of Translational Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Chisale MhangoCollege of Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Blantyre, Malawi.
Ronald MatayaCollege of Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Blantyre, Malawi.
Iffat AhmedThe Aga Khan University Hospital and Medical College Foundation, Karachi, Pakistan.
Olufemi T OladapoUNDP/UNFPA/UNICEF/WHO/World Bank Special Programme of Research, Development and Research Training in Human Reproduction (HRP), Department of Reproductive Health and Research, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Javier ZamoraHospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, CIBER en Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP) and Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria (IRYCIS), Madrid, Spain.
Tracy E RobertsHealth Economics Unit, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK. Electronic address: t.e.roberts@bham.ac.uk.
University of Birmingham · GBAga Khan University Hospital · PKInstituto Ramón y Cajal de Investigación Sanitaria · ESUniversity of Liverpool · GBUniversity of Nottingham · GBWorld Health Organization · CH

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/K007408/1World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere is ongoing debate on the clinical benefits of antibiotic prophylaxis for reducing pelvic infection after miscarriage surgery. We aimed to study the cost-effectiveness of antibiotic prophylaxis in the surgical management of miscarriage in low-income countries.

methodsWe did an incremental cost-effectiveness analysis using data from 3412 women recruited to the AIMS trial, a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial designed to evaluate the effectiveness of antibiotic prophylaxis in the surgical management of miscarriage in Malawi, Pakistan, Tanzania, and Uganda. Economic evaluation was done from a health-care-provider perspective on the basis of the outcome of cost per pelvic infection avoided within 2 weeks of surgery. Pelvic infection was broadly defined by the presence of clinical features or the clinically identified need to administer antibiotics. We used non-parametric bootstrapping and multilevel random effects models to estimate incremental mean costs and outcomes. Decision uncertainty was shown via cost-effectiveness acceptability frontiers. The AIMS trial is registered with the ISRCTN registry, number ISRCTN97143849.

findingsBetween June 2, 2014, and April 26, 2017, 3412 women were assigned to receive either antibiotic prophylaxis (1705 [50%] of 3412) or placebo (1707 [50%] of 3412) in the AIMS trial. 158 (5%) of 3412 women developed pelvic infection within 2 weeks of surgery, of whom 68 (43%) were in the antibiotic prophylaxis group and 90 (57%) in the placebo group. There is 97-98% probability that antibiotic prophylaxis is a cost-effective intervention at expected thresholds of willingness-to-pay per additional pelvic infection avoided. In terms of post-surgery antibiotics, the antibiotic prophylaxis group was US$0·27 (95% CI -0·49 to -0·05) less expensive per woman than the placebo group. A secondary analysis, a sensitivity analysis, and all subgroup analyses supported these findings. Antibiotic prophylaxis, if implemented routinely before miscarriage surgery, could translate to an annual total cost saving of up to $1·4 million across the four participating countries and up to $8·5 million across the two regions of sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia.

interpretationAntibiotic prophylaxis is more effective and less expensive than no antibiotic prophylaxis. Policy makers in various settings should be confident that antibiotic prophylaxis in miscarriage surgery is cost-effective.

fundingUK Medical Research Council, Wellcome Trust, and the UK Department for International Development.

Indexed as

Abortion, SpontaneousAdolescentAdultAntibiotic ProphylaxisCost-Benefit AnalysisDeveloping CountriesDouble-Blind MethodFemaleHumansMalawiPakistanPregnancyTanzaniaTreatment OutcomeUgandaYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID31402008
PMCPMC6695526
OpenAlexW2968778744

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.