Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31401962›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2019

What is stirring in the reservoir? Modelling mechanisms of henipavirus circulation in fruit bat hosts.

Emma E Glennon, Daniel J Becker, Alison J Peel, Romain Garnier, Richard D Suu-Ire, Louise Gibson, David T S Hayman, James L N Wood, Andrew A Cunningham, Raina K Plowright and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed
3.6field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 44 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  8. The Genetic Diversity of Nipah Virus Across Spatial Scales.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. The genetic diversity of Nipah virus across spatial scales.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2023
    Article
  14. Inferring the disruption of rabies circulation in vampire bat populations using a betaherpesvirus-vectored transmissible vaccine.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 7 institutions in 5 countries.

Emma E GlennonDepartment of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB3 0ES, UK.
Daniel J BeckerDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT 59717, USA.
Alison J PeelEnvironmental Futures Research Institute, Griffith University, Nathan, Queensland, QLD 4111, Australia.
Romain GarnierDepartment of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB3 0ES, UK.
Richard D Suu-IreSchool of Veterinary Medicine, College of Basic and Applied Sciences, University of Ghana, Legon, Accra, Ghana.
Louise GibsonInstitute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, London NW1 4RY, UK.
David T S HaymanMolecular Epidemiology and Public Health Laboratory, Infectious Disease Research Centre, Hopkirk Research Institute, Massey University, Palmerston North, 4442, New Zealand.
James L N WoodDepartment of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB3 0ES, UK.
Andrew A CunninghamInstitute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, London NW1 4RY, UK.
Raina K PlowrightDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT 59717, USA.
Olivier RestifDepartment of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB3 0ES, UK.
University of Cambridge · GBMontana State University · USZoological Society of London · GBGeorgetown University · USGriffith University · AUMassey University · NZUniversity of Ghana · GH

Funding

Research Core (Developmental Research Project Program)P20GM103474 · NIGMS · MONTANA STATE UNIVERSITY - BOZEMAN · PI Jeffrey Good · 2012 to 2026
$60.0M
Pilot Grants ProgramP30GM110732 · NIGMS · MONTANA STATE UNIVERSITY - BOZEMAN · PI QUINN, MARK T · 2014 to 2018
$5.4M
Medical Research Council MR/P025226/1NIGMS NIH HHS P20 GM103474NIGMS NIH HHS P30 GM110732
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Pathogen circulation among reservoir hosts is a precondition for zoonotic spillover. Unlike the acute, high morbidity infections typical in spillover hosts, infected reservoir hosts often exhibit low morbidity and mortality. Although it has been proposed that reservoir host infections may be persistent with recurrent episodes of shedding, direct evidence is often lacking. We construct a generalized SEIR (susceptible, exposed, infectious, recovered) framework encompassing 46 sub-models representing the full range of possible transitions among those four states of infection and immunity. We then use likelihood-based methods to fit these models to nine years of longitudinal data on henipavirus serology from a captive colony of Eidolon helvum bats in Ghana. We find that reinfection is necessary to explain observed dynamics; that acute infectious periods may be very short (hours to days); that immunity, if present, lasts about 1-2 years; and that recurring latent infection is likely. Although quantitative inference is sensitive to assumptions about serology, qualitative predictions are robust. Our novel approach helps clarify mechanisms of viral persistence and circulation in wild bats, including estimated ranges for key parameters such as the basic reproduction number and the duration of the infectious period. Our results inform how future field-based and experimental work could differentiate the processes of viral recurrence and reinfection in reservoir hosts. This article is part of the theme issue 'Dynamic and integrative approaches to understanding pathogen spillover'.

Indexed as

ChiropteraAnimalsAnimals, ZooDisease ReservoirsGhanaHenipavirusHenipavirus InfectionsPrevalenceSeroepidemiologic Studiesdisease dynamicsEidolon helvumfruit batshenipavirusreservoir hostszoonosis

Identifiers

PMID31401962
PMCPMC6711305
OpenAlexW2968898132

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.