ArticleParasites & vectors2019
Predicting West Nile virus transmission in North American bird communities using phylogenetic mixed effects models and eBird citizen science data.
Article in Parasites & vectors, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
22 citing papers in PubMed.
- Life-history traits associated to West Nile virus seroprevalence in wild birds: Lessons from the recent outbreaks in Spain.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026Article
- Molecules to spillover: how climate warming impacts mosquito-borne viruses.Current opinion in virology · 2025Review
- Ecological drivers of arboviral disease risk: Vector-host interfaces in a Mediterranean wetland of Northeastern Spain.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Integrating Wind Speed Into Climate-Based West Nile Virus Models: A Comparative Analysis in Two Distinct Regions.GeoHealth · 2025Article
- Paradigm Shift Toward "One Health" Monitoring ofOpen forum infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Graph-based epidemic modeling of West Nile Virus: Forecasting and containment.F1000Research · 2025Article
- Population-specific thermal responses contribute to regional variability in arbovirus transmission with changing climates.iScience · 2024Article
- Exploring Climate-Disease Connections in Geopolitical Versus Ecological Regions: The Case of West Nile Virus in the United States.GeoHealth · 2024Article
- Review
- Investigating the impact of environmental factors on West Nile virus human case prediction in Ontario, Canada.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Relative Influence of Land Use, Mosquito Abundance, and Bird Communities in Defining West Nile Virus Infection Rates inInsects · 2022Article
- The COVID-19 pandemic: Virus transmission and risk assessment.Current opinion in environmental science & health · 2022Review
- Heterogeneity of Rift Valley fever virus transmission potential across livestock hosts, quantified through a model-based analysis of host viral load and vector infection.PLoS computational biology · 2022Article
- A meteorological-based forecasting model for predicting minimal infection rates inCanada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada · 2022Article
- Article
- Human-mediated impacts on biodiversity and the consequences for zoonotic disease spillover.Current biology : CB · 2021Review
- Article
- Physiology and ecology combine to determine host and vector importance for Ross River virus.eLife · 2021Article
- Epidemiology of human West Nile virus infections in the European Union and European Union enlargement countries, 2010 to 2018.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2021Article
- Trait means or variance-What determines plant species' local and regional occurrence in fragmented dry grasslands?Ecology and evolution · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundWest Nile virus (WNV) is a mosquito-transmitted disease of birds that has caused bird population declines and can spill over into human populations. Previous research has identified bird species that infect a large fraction of the total pool of infected mosquitoes and correlate with human infection risk; however, these analyses cover small spatial regions and cannot be used to predict transmission in bird communities in which these species are rare or absent. Here we present a mechanistic model for WNV transmission that predicts WNV spread (R
resultsWe focused our analysis on Texas, USA, because it is among the states with the highest total incidence of WNV in humans and is well sampled by birders in the eBird database. Spatio-temporal patterns: WNV transmission is primarily driven by temperature variation across time and space, and secondarily by bird community composition. In Texas, we predicted WNV R
conclusionsDespite some data limitations, we demonstrate the power of phylogenetic imputation in predicting disease transmission in heterogeneous host communities. Our mechanistic modeling framework shows promise both for assisting future analyses on transmission and spillover in heterogeneous multispecies pathogen systems and for improving model transparency by clarifying assumptions, choices and shortcomings in complex ecological analyses.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.