Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31390924›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2019

Refining the Association Between Body Mass Index and Atrial Fibrillation: G-Formula and Restricted Mean Survival Times.

Sarah C Conner, Sara Lodi, Kathryn L Lunetta, Juan P Casas, Steven A Lubitz, Patrick T Ellinor, Christopher D Anderson, Qiuxi Huang, Justin Coleman, Wendy B White and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Modelling anticoagulation and health-related quality of life in those with atrial fibrillation: a secondary analysis of AFFIRM.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 7 institutions in 1 country.

Sarah C ConnerDepartment of Biostatistics Boston University School of Public Health Boston MA.
Sara LodiDepartment of Biostatistics Boston University School of Public Health Boston MA.
Kathryn L LunettaDepartment of Biostatistics Boston University School of Public Health Boston MA.
Juan P CasasMassachusetts Veterans Epidemiology and Research Information Center (MAVERIC) Veterans Affairs Boston Healthcare System Boston MA.
Steven A LubitzCardiac Arrhythmia Service and Cardiovascular Research Center Massachusetts General Hospital Boston MA.
Patrick T EllinorCardiac Arrhythmia Service and Cardiovascular Research Center Massachusetts General Hospital Boston MA.
Christopher D AndersonDepartment of Neurology Massachusetts General Hospital Boston MA.
Qiuxi HuangDepartment of Biostatistics Boston University School of Public Health Boston MA.
Justin ColemanTougaloo College Jackson MS.
Wendy B WhiteTougaloo College Jackson MS.
Emelia J BenjaminNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute's and Boston University's Framingham Heart Study Framingham MA.
Ludovic TrinquartDepartment of Biostatistics Boston University School of Public Health Boston MA.
Boston University · USFramingham Heart Study · USMassachusetts General Hospital · USTougaloo College · USBroad Institute · USNational Heart Lung and Blood Institute · USVA Boston Healthcare System · US

Funding

IDENTIFICATION OF COMMON GENETIC VARIANTS FOR ATRIAL FIBRILLATION AND PR INTERVALR01HL092577 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI BENJAMIN, EMELIA J., ELLINOR, PATRICK THOMAS · 2009 to 2025
$20.6M
Sequencing Annotation and Functional Analysis in Risk of Intracerebral HemorrhageR01NS103924 · NINDS · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI ANDERSON, CHRISTOPHER DAVID · 2018 to 2022
$3.4M
Genomics of Cardiac ArrhythmiasR01HL139731 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI ELLINOR, PATRICK THOMAS · 2018 to 2022
$3.3M
AFGen Consortium: Atrial Fibrillation Genomics to Functional AnalysesR01HL128914 · NHLBI · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI BENJAMIN, EMELIA J., ELLINOR, PATRICK THOMAS · 2015 to 2018
$3.1M
Interdisciplinary Training for BiostatisticiansT32GM074905 · NIGMS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI WHITE, LAURA FORSBERG · 2005 to 2019
$3.0M
Genetic Analyses of Lipids in Cerebral Hemorrhage and Small Vessel DiseaseK23NS086873 · NINDS · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI ANDERSON, CHRISTOPHER DAVID · 2014 to 2018
$951k
Novel Statistical Methods for Risk Communication of Atrial FibrillationF31HL145904 · NHLBI · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI CONNER, SARAH CHRISTINA · 2019 to 2020
$65k
NHLBI NIH HHS F31 HL145904NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL092577NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL128914NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL139731NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM074905NINDS NIH HHS K23 NS086873NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS103924
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background Previous studies assessing the association between body mass index (BMI) and atrial fibrillation (AF) did not account for time-varying covariates, which may be affected by previous BMI. We illustrate how the g-formula can account for time-varying confounding. Methods and Results We included 4392 participants from the Framingham Heart Study who were AF free at ages 45 to 55 years, and followed them for up to 20 years. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) comparing time-varying nonobese versus obese with Cox models. We used the g-formula to compare nonobese versus obese and 10% annual decrease in BMI (until normal weight is reached) versus natural course. We estimated HRs and differences in restricted mean survival times, the mean difference in time alive and AF free. We adjusted for sex, age, and time-varying risk factors. Cox models indicated that nonobese participants had a decreased rate of AF versus obese participants (HR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.72-0.97). G-formula analyses comparing everyone had they been nonobese versus obese yielded stronger associations (HR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.58-0.91). The restricted mean survival time was 19.22 years had everyone been nonobese and 19.03 years had everyone been obese (difference, 2.25 months; 95% CI, -0.66 to 5.16). When assessing a 10% annual decrease in BMI, the association was weaker (HR 0.96; 95% CI, 0.86-1.08). Conclusions Decreased BMI was associated with a lower rate of AF after accounting for time-varying covariates that depend on previous exposure using the g-formula, which Cox models cannot accommodate. Absolute measures like the restricted mean survival time difference offer context to relative measures of association.

Indexed as

Statistics as TopicAgedAtrial FibrillationBody Mass IndexCase-Control StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedObesityProportional Hazards ModelsSurvival RateTime Factorsatrial fibrillationbody mass indexepidemiologysurvival analysistime‐varying covariate

Identifiers

PMID31390924
PMCPMC6759878
OpenAlexW2968858555

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.