ArticleNature communications2019
Tens of thousands additional deaths annually in cities of China between 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C warming.
Article in Nature communications, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
28 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Projected impact of climate change on human health in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review.BMJ global health · 2024Pooled it
- The dividend period of climate change-related mortality in China is coming to an end.Fundamental research · 2026Article
- Effects of Extreme Heat Exposure on Heatstroke and Liver Injury in Mice: The Role of PPARα.Environmental health perspectives · 2026Article
- Future heat-related mortality in Europe driven by compound day-night heatwaves and demographic shifts.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Projections of Heat-Related Mortality in Chinese Cities: The Roles of Climate Change, Urbanization, Socioeconomic Adaptation, and Landscape-Level Strategies.Environmental health perspectives · 2025Article
- Enhanced Thermal Resistance and Mechanical Performance of Methyl Methacrylate-Based Pavement Coatings for Urban Heat Mitigation.Polymers · 2025Article
- High-resolution modeling and projection of heat-related mortality in Germany under climate change.Communications medicine · 2024Article
- Effect of Elevated Temperatures on Inflammatory Cytokine Release: AnEnvironment & health (Washington, D.C.) · 2024Article
- Heat and Cardiovascular Mortality: An Epidemiological Perspective.Circulation research · 2024Article
- Health Co-Benefits of Environmental Changes in the Context of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality in China.Health data science · 2024Review
- Projecting future labor losses due to heat stress in China under climate change scenarios.Science bulletin · 2023Article
- Synergetic roadmap of carbon neutrality and clean air for China.Environmental science and ecotechnology · 2023Review
- Observational and model evidence together support wide-spread exposure to noncompensable heat under continued global warming.Science advances · 2023Article
- Nationwide projections of heat- and cold-related mortality impacts under various climate change and population development scenarios in Switzerland.Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site] · 2023Article
- Study on the Correlation between Life Expectancy and the Ecological Environment around the Cities along the Belt and Road.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Association between Meteorological Factors and Outpatient Visits for Herpes Zoster in Hefei, China: A Time-Series Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Increased moist heat stress risk across China under warming climate.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Achievements and gaps in projection studies on the temperature-attributable health burden: Where should we be headed?Frontiers in epidemiology · 2022Article
- Projections of heatwave-attributable mortality under climate change and future population scenarios in China.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2022Article
- Spatial Heterogeneity and Attribution Analysis of Urban Thermal Comfort in China from 2000 to 2020.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
14 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The increase in surface air temperature in China has been faster than the global rate, and more high temperature spells are expected to occur in future. Here we assess the annual heat-related mortality in densely populated cities of China at 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming. For this, the urban population is projected under five SSPs, and 31 GCM runs as well as temperature-mortality relation curves are applied. The annual heat-related mortality is projected to increase from 32.1 per million inhabitants annually in 1986-2005 to 48.8-67.1 per million for the 1.5 °C warming and to 59.2-81.3 per million for the 2.0 °C warming, taking improved adaptation capacity into account. Without improved adaptation capacity, heat-related mortality will increase even stronger. If all 831 million urban inhabitants in China are considered, the additional warming from 1.5 °C to 2 °C will lead to more than 27.9 thousand additional heat-related deaths, annually.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.