Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31387605›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2019

Antibiotic use and the risk of rheumatoid arthritis: a population-based case-control study.

Alyshah Abdul Sultan, Christian Mallen, Sara Muller, Samantha Hider, Ian Scott, Toby Helliwell, Lindsay J Hall

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 48 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Article
  6. Association of Antibiotic Use and New-Onset ICD Coding of Geographic Atrophy.Investigative ophthalmology & visual science · 2026
    Article
  7. Gut Microbiota and Extraintestinal Cancers: Mechanistic Insights and Microbiome-Targeted Interventions.JGH open : an open access journal of gastroenterology and hepatology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Alyshah Abdul SultanArthritis Research UK Primary Care Centre, Institute for Primary care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, ST5 5BG, UK.
Christian MallenArthritis Research UK Primary Care Centre, Institute for Primary care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, ST5 5BG, UK.
Sara MullerArthritis Research UK Primary Care Centre, Institute for Primary care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, ST5 5BG, UK.
Samantha HiderArthritis Research UK Primary Care Centre, Institute for Primary care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, ST5 5BG, UK.
Ian ScottArthritis Research UK Primary Care Centre, Institute for Primary care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, ST5 5BG, UK.
Toby HelliwellArthritis Research UK Primary Care Centre, Institute for Primary care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, ST5 5BG, UK.
Lindsay J HallGut Microbes & Health Programme, Quadram Institute Bioscience, Norwich Research Park, Norwich, NR4 7UQ, UK. lindsay.hall@quadram.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-8938-5709
Keele University · GBMidlands Partnership NHS Foundation Trust · GBNorwich Research Park · GB

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/R012490/1Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BBS/E/F/00044409Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BBS/E/F/000PR10353Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BBS/E/F/000PR10356Department of Health RP_2014-04-026Department of Health RP-PG-0617-20005Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 100974/C/13/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAntibiotic-induced disturbances of the human microbiota have been implicated in the development of chronic autoimmune conditions. This study aimed to assess whether antibiotic use is associated with the onset of rheumatoid arthritis (RA).

methodsA nested case-control study was conducted utilising data from the primary care Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). Patients with an incident diagnosis of RA were identified (1995-2017). Each case was matched on age, gender, and general practice to ≥ 5 controls without RA. Conditional logistic regression was used to examine previous antibiotic prescriptions and RA onset after controlling for confounding factors.

resultsWe identified 22,677 cases of RA, matched to 90,013 controls, with a median follow-up of 10 years before RA diagnosis. The odds of developing RA were 60% higher in those exposed to antibiotics than in those not exposed (OR 1.60; 95% CI 1.51-1.68). A dose- or frequency-dependent association was observed between the number of previous antibiotic prescriptions and RA. All classes of antibiotics were associated with higher odds of RA, with bactericidal antibiotics carrying higher risk than bacteriostatic (45% vs. 31%). Those with antibiotic-treated upper respiratory tract (URT) infections were more likely to be RA cases. However, this was not observed for URT infections not treated with antibiotics. Antifungal (OR = 1.27; 95% CI 1.20-1.35) and antiviral (OR = 1.19; 95% CI 1.14-1.24) prescriptions were also associated with increased odds of RA.

conclusionAntibiotic prescriptions are associated with a higher risk of RA. This may be due to microbiota disturbances or underlying infections driving risk. Further research is needed to explore these mechanisms.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAnti-Bacterial AgentsArthritis, RheumatoidCase-Control StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsAnti-Bacterial Agents

Identifiers

PMID31387605
PMCPMC6685281
OpenAlexW2966364495

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.