Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31376388›Full record

ArticleGastroenterology2020

Baseline Colonoscopy Findings Associated With 10-Year Outcomes in a Screening Cohort Undergoing Colonoscopy Surveillance.

David Lieberman, Brian A Sullivan, Elizabeth R Hauser, Xuejun Qin, Laura W Musselwhite, Meghan C O'Leary, Thomas S Redding, Ashton N Madison, A Jasmine Bullard, Reana Thomas and 8 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Gastroenterology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.4field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 65 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. NCCN Guidelines Insights: Colorectal Cancer Screening, Version 2.2020.Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network : JNCCN · 2020
    Guideline
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Associations Between Prescreening Dietary Patterns and Longitudinal Colonoscopy Outcomes in Veterans.Federal practitioner : for the health care professionals of the VA, DoD, and PHS · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Will Rogers Paradox in Gastroenterology.Digestive diseases and sciences · 2025
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Observational
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. The Present and Future of Colorectal Cancer Screening.Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2022
    Article
  14. [Korean Guidelines for Postpolypectomy Colonoscopic Surveillance: 2022 Revised Edition].The Korean journal of gastroenterology = Taehan Sohwagi Hakhoe chi · 2022
    Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

David LiebermanVA Portland Health Care System, Portland, Oregon; Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon.
Brian A SullivanCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina; Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Elizabeth R HauserCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina; Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Xuejun QinCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina; Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Laura W MusselwhiteCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina; Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Meghan C O'LearyCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina.
Thomas S ReddingCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina.
Ashton N MadisonCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina.
A Jasmine BullardCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina.
Reana ThomasCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina.
Kellie J SimsCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina.
Christina D WilliamsCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina; Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Terry HyslopCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina; Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
David WeissPerry Point Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center, VA Maryland Health Care System, Perry Point, Maryland.
Samir GuptaSan Diego VA Medical Center, San Diego, California; University of California San Diego, San Diego, California.
Ziad F GelladCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina; Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Douglas J RobertsonWhite River Junction VA Medical Center, White River Junction, Vermont; Dartmouth Geisel School of Medicine, Hanover, New Hampshire.
Dawn ProvenzaleCooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina; Duke University, Durham, North Carolina. Electronic address: dawn.provenzale@va.gov.
Duke University · USDurham VA Health Care System · USDartmouth College · USOregon Health & Science University · USUniversity of California San Diego · USVA Maryland Health Care System · US

Funding

Simulation-Guided Systems Redesign in GI EndoscopyIK2HX001555 · VA · DURHAM VA MEDICAL CENTER · PI GELLAD, ZIAD · 2015 to 2019
–
HSRD VA IK2 HX001555
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsFew studies have evaluated long-term outcomes of ongoing colonoscopic screening and surveillance in a screening population. We aimed to determine the 10-year risk for advanced neoplasia (defined as adenomas ≥10mm, adenomas with villous histology or high-grade dysplasia, or colorectal cancer [CRC]) and assessed whether baseline colonoscopy findings were associated with long-term outcomes.

methodsWe collected data from the Department of Veterans Affairs Cooperative Studies Program Study on 3121 asymptomatic veterans (50-75 years old) who underwent a screening colonoscopy from 1994 through 1997 at 13 medical centers and were then followed for 10 years or until death. We included 1915 subjects with at least 1 surveillance colonoscopy and estimated cumulative incidence of advanced neoplasia by Kaplan-Meier curves. We then fit a longitudinal joint model to estimate risk of advanced neoplasia at each subsequent examination after baseline, adjusting for multiple colonoscopies within individuals.

resultsThrough 10 years of follow-up, there were 146 individuals among all baseline colonoscopy groups found to have at least 1 incident advanced neoplasia. The cumulative 10-year incidence of advanced neoplasia was highest among those with baseline CRC (43.7%; 95% CI 13.0%-74.4%), followed by those with baseline advanced adenoma (AA) (21.9%; 95% CI 15.7-28.1). The cumulative 10-year incidence of advanced neoplasia was 6.3% (95% CI 4.1%-8.5%) and 4.1% (95% CI 2.7%-5.4%) for baseline 1 to 2 small adenomas (<1cm, and without villous histology or high-grade dysplasia) and no neoplasia, respectively (log-rank P = .10). After adjusting for prior surveillance, the risk of advanced neoplasia at each subsequent examination was not significantly increased in veterans with 1 or 2 small adenomas at baseline (odds ratio 0.96; 95% CI 0.67-1.41) compared with veterans with no baseline neoplasia.

conclusionsBaseline screening colonoscopy findings associate with advanced neoplasia within 10 years. Individuals with only 1 or 2 small adenomas at baseline have a low risk of advanced neoplasia over 10 years. Alternative surveillance strategies, could be considered for these individuals.

Indexed as

AdenomaAgedColonColonic PolypsColonoscopyColorectal NeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceIntestinal MucosaLongitudinal StudiesMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedCancer PreventionColon CancerPrognostic FactorsTumor

Identifiers

PMID31376388
OpenAlexW2964976929

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.