Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31367949›Full record

ArticleOsteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA2019

Bisphosphonates and mortality: confounding in observational studies?

J Bergman, A Nordström, A Hommel, M Kivipelto, P Nordström

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. From Bone Health to Lifespan: Pleiotropic Effects of Antiresorptive Agents.Endocrinology and metabolism (Seoul, Korea) · 2025
    Review
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Geriatric nutritional risk index as the prognostic factor in older patients with fragility hip fractures.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Real-World Effectiveness of Anti-Resorptive Treatment in Patients With Incident Fragility Fractures-The STORM Cohort-A Swedish Retrospective Observational Study.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2022
    Observational
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Correction to: Bisphosphonates and mortality: confounding in observational studies.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2021
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

J BergmanUnit of Geriatric Medicine, Department of Community Medicine and Rehabilitation, Umeå University, 90187, Umeå, Sweden.
A NordströmSection of Sustainable Health, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, 90187, Umeå, Sweden.
A HommelDepartment of Care Sciences, Malmö University, 20506, Malmö, Sweden.
M KivipeltoDivision of Clinical geriatrics, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet, Plan 7, 14183, Huddinge, Sweden.
P NordströmUnit of Geriatric Medicine, Department of Community Medicine and Rehabilitation, Umeå University, 90187, Umeå, Sweden. peter.nordstrom@umu.se.

Funding

Vetenskapsrådet 2016-02584
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Numerous observational studies suggest that bisphosphonates reduce mortality. This study showed that bisphosphonate use is associated with lower mortality within days of treatment, although the association was not significant until the second week. Such an early association is consistent with confounding, although an early treatment effect cannot be ruled out.

introductionThe purpose of this study was to examine whether confounding explains why numerous observational studies show that bisphosphonate use is associated with lower mortality. To this end, we examined how soon after treatment initiation a lower mortality rate can be observed. We hypothesized that, due to confounding, the association would be observed immediately.

methodsThis was a retrospective cohort study of hip fracture patients discharged from Swedish hospitals between 1 July 2006 and 31 December 2015. The data covered 260,574 hip fracture patients and were obtained from the Swedish Hip Fracture Register and national registers. Of the 260,574 patients, 49,765 met all eligibility criteria and 10,178 were pair matched (bisphosphonate users to controls) using time-dependent propensity scores. The matching variables were age, sex, diagnoses, prescription medications, type of hip fracture, type of surgical procedure, known or suspected dementia, and physical functioning status.

resultsOver a median follow-up of 2.8 years, 2922 of the 10,178 matched patients died. The mortality rate was 7.9 deaths per 100 person-years in bisphosphonate users and 9.4 deaths in controls, which corresponded to a 15% lower mortality rate in bisphosphonate users (hazard ratio 0.85, 95% confidence interval 0.79-0.91). The risk of death was lower in bisphosphonate users from day 6 of treatment, although the association was not significant until the second week.

conclusionBisphosphonate use was associated with lower mortality within days of treatment initiation. This finding is consistent with confounding, although an early treatment effect cannot be ruled out.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overBone Density Conservation AgentsConfounding Factors, EpidemiologicDiphosphonatesDrug Administration ScheduleFemaleHip FracturesHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateMaleMiddle AgedObservational Studies as TopicOsteoporosisOsteoporotic FracturesRecurrenceBone Density Conservation AgentsDiphosphonatesBisphosphonatesDeathMortalityObservational studyOsteoporosis

Identifiers

PMID31367949
PMCPMC6795608

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.