Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31364576›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and infection2019

Increasing varicella incidence rates among children in the Republic of Korea: an age-period-cohort analysis.

Young Hwa Lee, Young June Choe, Sung-Il Cho, Ji Hwan Bang, Myoung-Don Oh, Jong-Koo Lee

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Global varicella vaccination programs.Clinical and experimental pediatrics · 2022
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Infectious Respiratory Diseases Decreased during the COVID-19 Pandemic in South Korea.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Young Hwa LeeDepartment of Epidemiology,Seoul National University School of Public Health,Seoul,Republic of Korea.
Young June ChoeDivision of Pediatric Infectious Diseases,The Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University,Providence, RI,USA.
Sung-Il ChoDepartment of Epidemiology,Seoul National University School of Public Health,Seoul,Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-4085-1494
Ji Hwan BangDivision of Infectious Diseases,Seoul Metropolitan Government-Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center,Seoul,Republic of Korea.
Myoung-Don OhDepartment of Internal Medicine,Seoul National University College of Medicine,Seoul,Republic of Korea.
Jong-Koo LeeDepartment of Family Medicine,Seoul National University College of Medicine,Seoul,Republic of Korea.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the Republic of Korea, despite the introduction of one-dose universal varicella vaccination in 2005 and achieving a high coverage rate of 98.9% in 2012, the incidence rate has been increased sevenfold. This study aimed to investigate time trends of varicella incidence rate, assessing the age, period and birth cohort effects. We used national data on the annual number of reported cases from 2006 to 2017. A log-linear Poisson regression model was used to estimate age-period-cohort effects on varicella incidence rate. From 2006 to 2017, the incidence of varicella increased from 22.5 cases to more than 154.8 cases per 100 000. Peak incidence has shifted from 4 to 6 years old. The estimated period and cohort effects showed significant upward patterns, with a linear increasing trend by net drift. There has been an increase in the incidence among the Korean population regarding period and cohort despite the universal vaccination of varicella vaccine. Our data suggest the need for additional studies to address the current gap in herd immunity.

Indexed as

RegistriesAdolescentAge FactorsChickenpoxChickenpox VaccineChildChild, PreschoolCohort StudiesFemaleHumansImmunity, HerdIncidenceInfantLinear ModelsMaleRepublic of KoreaChickenpox VaccineAge–period–cohortchickenpoxincidencevaricella

Identifiers

PMID31364576
PMCPMC6805734

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.