Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31362976›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2019

The demographics and geographic distribution of laboratory-confirmed Lyme disease cases in England and Wales (2013-2016): an ecological study.

John S P Tulloch, Amanda E Semper, Tim J G Brooks, Katherine Russell, Kate D Halsby, Robert M Christley, Alan D Radford, Roberto Vivancos, Jenny C Warner

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Incidence of Lyme Borreliosis in Europe: A Systematic Review (2005-2020).Vector borne and zoonotic diseases (Larchmont, N.Y.) · 2023
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Lyme borreliosis.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2026
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Seroepidemiology ofMicroorganisms · 2022
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Epidemiology of Lyme borreliosis based on outpatient claims data of all people with statutory health insurance, Germany, 2019.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2022
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

John S P TullochNIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2150-0090
Amanda E SemperRare and Imported Pathogens Laboratory, Public Health England, Porton Down, UK.
Tim J G BrooksRare and Imported Pathogens Laboratory, Public Health England, Porton Down, UK.
Katherine RussellNational Infection Service, Public Health England, London, UK.
Kate D HalsbyNational Infection Service, Public Health England, London, UK.
Robert M ChristleyNIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Alan D RadfordNIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Roberto VivancosField Epidemiology Service, Public Health England, Liverpool, UK.
Jenny C WarnerRare and Imported Pathogens Laboratory, Public Health England, Porton Down, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveLyme disease is a tick-borne disease of increasing incidence and public concern across the Northern Hemisphere. However, the socio-demographics and geographic distribution of the population affected in England and Wales are poorly understood. Therefore, the proposed study was designed to describe the demographics and distribution of laboratory-confirmed cases of Lyme disease from a national testing laboratory.

designAn ecological study of routinely collected laboratory surveillance data.

settingPublic Health England's national Lyme disease testing laboratory.

participants3986 laboratory-confirmed cases of Lyme disease between 2013 and 2016.

resultsIn England and Wales, the incidence of laboratory-confirmed Lyme disease rose significantly over the study period from 1.62 cases per 100 000 in 2013 to 1.95 cases per 100 000 in 2016. There was a bimodal age distribution (with peaks at 6-10 and 61-65 years age bands) with a predominance of male patients. A significant clustering of areas with high Lyme disease incidence was located in southern England. An association was found between disease incidence and socioeconomic status, based on the patient's resident postcode, with more cases found in less deprived areas. Cases were disproportionately found in rural areas compared with the national population distribution.

conclusionsThese results suggest that Lyme disease patients originate from areas with higher socioeconomic status and disproportionately in rural areas. Identification of the Lyme disease hotspots in southern England, alongside the socio-demographics described, will enable a targeted approach to public health interventions and messages.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionChildChild, PreschoolEcologyEnglandFemaleGeographic MappingHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornLyme DiseaseEnglandepidemiologylaboratorylyme borreliosisLyme diseasesurveillance

Identifiers

PMID31362976
PMCPMC6677960

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.