Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31362404›Full record

ArticlePathogens (Basel, Switzerland)2019

Multi-Lineage Evolution in Viral Populations Driven by Host Immune Systems.

Jacopo Marchi, Michael Lässig, Thierry Mora, Aleksandra M Walczak

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Evolutionary stability of antigenically escaping viruses.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Human pathogenic RNA viruses establish noncompeting lineages by occupying independent niches.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Antigenic waves of virus-immune coevolution.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jacopo MarchiLaboratoire de physique de l'École normale supérieure (PSL University), CNRS, Sorbonne Université, and Université de Paris, 75005 Paris, France.
Michael LässigInstitute of Theoretical Physics, University of Cologne, 50937 Cologne, Germany.
Thierry MoraLaboratoire de physique de l'École normale supérieure (PSL University), CNRS, Sorbonne Université, and Université de Paris, 75005 Paris, France. tmora@lps.ens.fr.ORCID 0000-0002-5456-9361
Aleksandra M WalczakLaboratoire de physique de l'École normale supérieure (PSL University), CNRS, Sorbonne Université, and Université de Paris, 75005 Paris, France. awalczak@lpt.ens.fr.

Funding

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft CRC 1310H2020 European Research Council CoG 724208
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Viruses evolve in the background of host immune systems that exert selective pressure and drive viral evolutionary trajectories. This interaction leads to different evolutionary patterns in antigenic space. Examples observed in nature include the effectively one-dimensional escape characteristic of influenza A and the prolonged coexistence of lineages in influenza B. Here, we use an evolutionary model for viruses in the presence of immune host systems with finite memory to obtain a phase diagram of evolutionary patterns in a two-dimensional antigenic space. We find that, for small effective mutation rates and mutation jump ranges, a single lineage is the only stable solution. Large effective mutation rates combined with large mutational jumps in antigenic space lead to multiple stably co-existing lineages over prolonged evolutionary periods. These results combined with observations from data constrain the parameter regimes for the adaptation of viruses, including influenza.

Indexed as

co-evolutionstochastic modelingviral-immune dynamics

Identifiers

PMID31362404
PMCPMC6789611

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.