ArticleMedical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research2019
Trends in the Epidemiology of Sexually Transmitted Disease, Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS), Gonorrhea, and Syphilis, in the 31 Provinces of Mainland China.
Article in Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
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18 citing papers in PubMed.
- Spatiotemporal distribution of syphilis in Mainland China during the 17 years from 2004 to 2020.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Prevalence, trends, and correlates of HIV, syphilis, and HCV infections among male attendees at STD clinics in Southwest China: a 13-year cross-sectional study (2010-2022).BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Vaccine value profile for Neisseria gonorrhoeae.Vaccine · 2024Article
- Epidemiological characteristics of syphilis in mainland China, 2004 to 2019.The Journal of international medical research · 2024Article
- Trends in sexually transmitted and blood-borne infections in China from 2005 to 2021: a joinpoint regression model.BMC infectious diseases · 2023Article
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- Identification of ceftriaxone-resistant Neisseria gonorrhoeae FC428 clone and isolates harboring a novel mosaic penA gene in Chengdu in 2019-2020.Annals of clinical microbiology and antimicrobials · 2023Article
- Pay-it-forward gonorrhea and chlamydia testing among men who have sex with men and male STD patients in China: the PIONEER pragmatic, cluster randomized controlled trial protocol.BMC public health · 2023Article
- The Effects of Online Health Information-Seeking Behavior on Sexually Transmitted Disease in China: Infodemiology Study of the Internet Search Queries.Journal of medical Internet research · 2023Article
- Molecular Characteristics of Macrolide Resistance inInfection and drug resistance · 2023Article
- Spatial Heterogeneity and Its Influencing Factors of Syphilis in Ningxia, Northwest China, from 2004 to 2017: A Spatial Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the epidemiology of STDs in China: based on the GM (1,1) model.BMC infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Article
- Development and comparison of predictive models for sexually transmitted diseases-AIDS, gonorrhea, and syphilis in China, 2011-2021.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Prevalence ofThe Canadian journal of infectious diseases & medical microbiology = Journal canadien des maladies infectieuses et de la microbiologie medicale · 2022Article
- Effects of an Internet-Based and Teacher-Facilitated Sexuality Education Package: A Cluster-Randomized Trial.Children (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Article
- Co-infection with trichomonas vaginalis increases the risk of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2-3 among HPV16 positive female: a large population-based study.BMC infectious diseases · 2020Article
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Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aimed to investigate trends in the epidemiology of the leading sexually transmitted diseases (STDs), acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS), gonorrhea, and syphilis, in the 31 provinces of mainland China. MATERIAL AND METHODS This retrospective study analyzed the incidence data of STDs from official reports in China between 2004 and 2016. The grey model first order one variable, or GM (1,1), time series forecasting model for epidemiological studies predicted the incidence of STDs based on the annual incidence reports from 31 Chinese mainland provinces. Hierarchical cluster analysis was used to group the prevalence of STDs within each province. RESULTS The prediction accuracy of the GM (1,1) model was high, based on data during the 13 years between 2004 and 2016. The model predicted that the incidence rates of AIDS and syphilis would continue to increase over the next two years. Cluster analysis showed that 31 provinces could be classified into four clusters according to similarities in the incidence of STDs. Group A (Sinkiang Province) had the highest reported prevalence of syphilis. Group B included provinces with a higher incidence of gonorrhea, mainly in the southeast coast of China. Group C consisted of southwest provinces with a higher incidence of AIDS. CONCLUSIONS The GM (1,1) model was predictive for the incidence of STDs in 31 provinces in China. The predicted incidence rates of AIDS and syphilis showed an upward trend. Regional distribution of the major STDs highlights the need for targeted prevention and control programs.
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