Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31356411›Full record

Observational studyMedical care2019

Identifying Common Predictors of Multiple Adverse Outcomes Among Elderly Adults With Type-2 Diabetes.

Samuel Kabue, Vincent Liu, Wendy Dyer, Marsha Raebel, Greg Nichols, Julie Schmittdiel

Open access · greenAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Medical care, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 22% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
  7. Article
  8. Prevalence of Depressive Symptoms in the Elderly Population Diagnosed with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Samuel KabueHill Physicians Medical Group, Population Health, San Ramon.
Vincent LiuDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA.
Wendy DyerDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA.
Marsha RaebelInstitute of Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Colorado, Denver, CO.
Greg NicholsHealth Services Research, Kaiser Permanente North West, Oakland, CA.
Julie SchmittdielDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA.
Kaiser Permanente · US

Funding

Translational Research Core - Health Engagement & Action Translational (HEAT)P30DK092924 · NIDDK · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI Alyce Sophia Adams, HILARY Kessler SELIGMAN · 2011 to 2026
$9.2M
Identifying pre-sepsis opportunities for early, targeted intervention - Equipment SupplementR35GM128672 · NIGMS · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI Vincent Liu · 2018 to 2026
$4.3M
Data-driven Precision medicine in sepsisK23GM112018 · NIGMS · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI LIU, VINCENT · 2014 to 2017
$768k
The Safety and Effectiveness of Diabetes Quality Metrics in Elderly PatientsR21DK103146 · NIDDK · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI SCHMITTDIEL, JULIE A · 2015 to 2016
$431k
NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK092924NIDDK NIH HHS R21 DK103146NIGMS NIH HHS K23 GM112018NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM128672
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveAs part of a multidisciplinary team managing patients with type-2 diabetes, pharmacists need a consistent approach of identifying and prioritizing patients at highest risk of adverse outcomes. Our objective was to identify which predictors of adverse outcomes among type-2 diabetes patients were significant and common across 7 outcomes and whether these predictors improved the performance of risk prediction models. Identifying such predictors would allow pharmacists and other health care providers to prioritize their patient panels. RESEARCH DESIGN AND

methodsOur study population included 120,256 adults aged 65 years or older with type-2 diabetes from a large integrated health system. Through an observational retrospective cohort study design, we assessed which risk factors were associated with 7 adverse outcomes (hypoglycemia, hip fractures, syncope, emergency department visit or hospital admission, death, and 2 combined outcomes). We split (50:50) our study cohort into a test and training set. We used logistic regression to model outcomes in the test set and performed k-fold validation (k=5) of the combined outcome (without death) within the validation set.

resultsThe most significant predictors across the 7 outcomes were: age, number of medicines, prior history of outcome within the past 2 years, chronic kidney disease, depression, and retinopathy. Experiencing an adverse outcome within the prior 2 years was the strongest predictor of future adverse outcomes (odds ratio range: 4.15-7.42). The best performing models across all outcomes included: prior history of outcome, physiological characteristics, comorbidities and pharmacy-specific factors (c-statistic range: 0.71-0.80).

conclusionsPharmacists and other health care providers can use models with prior history of adverse event, number of medicines, chronic kidney disease, depression and retinopathy to prioritize interventions for elderly patients with type-2 diabetes.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overComorbidityDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Emergency Service, HospitalFemaleHealth PrioritiesHealth Services for the AgedHip FracturesHumansHypoglycemiaLogistic ModelsMaleOutcome Assessment, Health CarePatient AdmissionRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID31356411
PMCPMC8216594
OpenAlexW2966541524

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.