Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31354041›Full record

ArticleMultiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England)2020

Age-related decreases in relapses among adults with relapsing-onset multiple sclerosis.

Natalie A Schwehr, Karen M Kuntz, Mary Butler, Eva A Enns, Nathan D Shippee, Elaine Kingwell, Helen Tremlett, Adam F Carpenter, BeAMS Study Group

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Multiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Peripheral HLA-DRNeurology(R) neuroimmunology & neuroinflammation · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Correlates and trajectories of relapses in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2024
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Natalie A SchwehrDivision of Health Policy & Management, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1451-5294
Karen M KuntzDivision of Health Policy & Management, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Mary ButlerDivision of Health Policy & Management, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Eva A EnnsDivision of Health Policy & Management, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Nathan D ShippeeDivision of Health Policy & Management, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Elaine KingwellDivision of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, The University of British Columbia and Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Helen TremlettDivision of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, The University of British Columbia and Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health, Vancouver, BC, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5804-2535
Adam F CarpenterDepartment of Neurology, Medical School, University of Minnesota and Brain Sciences Center, Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
BeAMS Study Group

Funding

University of Minnesota Clinical and Translational Science Institute (UMN CTSI)UL1TR002494 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI BLAZAR, BRUCE R, WEISDORF, DANIEL J · 2018 to 2022
$34.9M
CIHR MOP-93646NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002494
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRelapsing-onset multiple sclerosis (MS) typically starts in early- to mid-adulthood, yet the trajectory of disease activity over the subsequent lifetime remains poorly defined. Previous studies have not quantified the age-specific portion of decreases in annualized relapse rates (ARR).

objectiveThe aim of this article is to determine, under a range of disease-related assumptions, the age-specific component of decreases in ARR over time among adults with relapsing-onset MS.

methodsWe used a simulation modeling approach to examine a range of assumptions about changes in ARR due to age versus disability status. Scenarios included variations in initial ARR and rate of worsening on the Expanded Disability Status Scale. Model parameters were developed through analysis of MS patients in British Columbia, Canada, and literature review.

resultsWe found a substantial age-specific decrease in ARR in all simulated scenarios, independent of disability worsening. Under a range of clinically plausible assumptions, 88%-97% of the decrease was attributed to age and 3%-13% to disability. The age-specific decrease ranged from 22% to 37% per 5 years for a wide range of initial ARR (0.33-1.0).

conclusionDecreases in ARR were due mostly to age rather than disability status. To facilitate informed decision making in MS, it is important to quantify the dynamic relationship between relapses and age.

Indexed as

Multiple SclerosisMultiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-RemittingPersons with DisabilitiesAdultBritish ColumbiaChild, PreschoolDisability EvaluationHumansRecurrenceagingdecision support techniquesdeprescriptionsepidemiologyMultiple sclerosisrelapsing/remitting

Identifiers

PMID31354041
PMCPMC6986982

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.