Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31353866›Full record

ArticleAnnals of clinical and translational neurology2019

Comparison of machine learning models for seizure prediction in hospitalized patients.

Aaron F Struck, Andres A Rodriguez-Ruiz, Gamaledin Osman, Emily J Gilmore, Hiba A Haider, Monica B Dhakar, Matthew Schrettner, Jong W Lee, Nicolas Gaspard, Lawrence J Hirsch and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of clinical and translational neurology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.2field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 36 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
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  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Continuous electroencephalography in the intensive care unit: A critical review and position statement from an Australian and New Zealand perspective.Critical care and resuscitation : journal of the Australasian Academy of Critical Care Medicine · 2023
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Article
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  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Detecting Seizures and Epileptiform Abnormalities in Acute Brain Injury.Current neurology and neuroscience reports · 2020
    Review
  18. Translational Genomics in Neurocritical Care: a Review.Neurotherapeutics : the journal of the American Society for Experimental NeuroTherapeutics · 2020
    Review
  19. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 8 institutions in 2 countries.

Aaron F StruckDepartment of Neurology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin.ORCID 0000-0002-9103-1798
Andres A Rodriguez-RuizDepartment of Neurology, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia.
Gamaledin OsmanDepartment of Neurology, Henry Ford Hospital, Detroit, Michigan.
Emily J GilmoreDepartment of Neurology, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
Hiba A HaiderDepartment of Neurology, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia.ORCID 0000-0001-7118-3690
Monica B DhakarDepartment of Neurology, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia.
Matthew SchrettnerDepartment of Neurology, University of South Carolina Greenville, Greenville, South Carolina.
Jong W LeeDepartment of Neurology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Nicolas GaspardDepartment of Neurology, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
Lawrence J HirschDepartment of Neurology, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
M Brandon WestoverDepartment of Neurology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Critical Care EEG Monitoring Research Consortium (CCERMRC)
Emory University · USYale University · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · USHarvard University · USHenry Ford Hospital · USPrisma Health · USUniversité Libre de Bruxelles · BEUniversity of Wisconsin–Madison · US

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
American Epilepsy SocietyEpilepsy Foundation of AmericaNCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo compare machine learning methods for predicting inpatient seizures risk and determine the feasibility of 1-h screening EEG to identify low-risk patients (<5% seizures risk in 48 h).

methodsThe Critical Care EEG Monitoring Research Consortium (CCEMRC) multicenter database contains 7716 continuous EEGs (cEEG). Neural networks (NN), elastic net logistic regression (EN), and sparse linear integer model (RiskSLIM) were trained to predict seizures. RiskSLIM was used previously to generate 2HELPS2B model of seizure predictions. Data were divided into training (60% for model fitting) and evaluation (40% for model evaluation) cohorts. Performance was measured using area under the receiver operating curve (AUC), mean risk calibration (CAL), and negative predictive value (NPV). A secondary analysis was performed using Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) to normalize all EEG recordings to 48 h and use only the first hour of EEG as a "screening EEG" to generate predictions.

resultsRiskSLIM recreated the 2HELPS2B model. All models had comparable AUC: evaluation cohort (NN: 0.85, EN: 0.84, 2HELPS2B: 0.83) and MCS (NN: 0.82, EN; 0.82, 2HELPS2B: 0.81) and NPV (absence of seizures in the group that the models predicted to be low risk): evaluation cohort (NN: 97%, EN: 97%, 2HELPS2B: 97%) and MCS (NN: 97%, EN: 99%, 2HELPS2B: 97%). 2HELPS2B model was able to identify the largest proportion of low-risk patients.

interpretationFor seizure risk stratification of hospitalized patients, the RiskSLIM generated 2HELPS2B model compares favorably to the complex NN and EN generated models. 2HELPS2B is able to accurately and quickly identify low-risk patients with only a 1-h screening EEG.

Indexed as

Machine LearningAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesCritical CareElectroencephalographyFemaleHumansMaleMonitoring, PhysiologicNeural Networks, ComputerSeizuresYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID31353866
PMCPMC6649418
OpenAlexW2954232143

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.