Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31353831›Full record

ArticleJournal of the International AIDS Society2019

HIV, antiretroviral therapy and non-communicable diseases in sub-Saharan Africa: empirical evidence from 44 countries over the period 2000 to 2016.

Lelani Coetzee, Lisa Bogler, Jan-Walter De Neve, Till Bärnighausen, Pascal Geldsetzer, Sebastian Vollmer

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 56 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
56citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
8.0field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

56 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 78 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Stability and predictors of phenotypic age acceleration among virally suppressed Asians with HIV over five years.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Lelani CoetzeeUniversity of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa.
Lisa BoglerDepartment of Economics and Centre for Modern Indian Studies, University of Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-5679-9777
Jan-Walter De NeveHeidelberg Institute of Global Health, Medical Faculty and University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-0090-8249
Till BärnighausenHeidelberg Institute of Global Health, Medical Faculty and University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-4182-4212
Pascal GeldsetzerHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8878-5505
Sebastian VollmerDepartment of Economics and Centre for Modern Indian Studies, University of Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7863-0462
Harvard University · USUniversity of Göttingen · DEHeidelberg University · DEUniversity of Pretoria · ZA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe HIV-infected population is growing due to the increased accessibility of antiretroviral therapy (ART) that extends the lifespan of people living with HIV (PLHIV). We aimed to assess whether national HIV prevalence and ART use are associated with an increased prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors.

methodsUsing country-level data, we analysed the effect of HIV prevalence and use of ART on cardiovascular risk factors in 44 countries in sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2016. We used fixed-effects estimation to quantify the effect of HIV and ART on the prevalence of diabetes, mean body mass index, the prevalence of overweight, obesity and hypertension, and mean systolic blood pressure. The models were adjusted for calendar time, the age structure of the population, income and education.

resultsDiabetes prevalence among PLHIV was 5.8 percentage points higher (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8 pp to 9.8 pp) compared to individuals without HIV. People receiving ART had a 4.6 percentage point higher prevalence (95% CI 2.6 pp to 6.6 pp). The prevalence of obesity was increased by 14.7 percentage points (95% CI 2.5 pp to 26.9 pp) for PLHIV. Receiving ART was associated with an increased obesity prevalence by 14.0 percentage points (95% CI 4.8 pp to 23.2 pp), whereas it had no significant association with the prevalence of overweight. The population aged 40 to 59 had a significantly higher prevalence of diabetes, overweight and obesity. HIV prevalence and ART use had no significant association with the prevalence of hypertension.

conclusionsAn ageing HIV-infected population on ART is associated with a significant increase in the prevalence of diabetes and obesity in sub-Saharan Africa. The increasing prevalence of these cardiovascular risk factors emphasizes the need for comprehensive healthcare programmes that screen and treat both HIV and non-communicable diseases to decrease the associated morbidity and mortality rates.

Indexed as

AdultAfrica South of the SaharaDelivery of Health CareFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansHypertensionMaleMiddle AgedNoncommunicable DiseasesObesityPrevalenceRetrospective Studiesageingantiretroviral therapycardiovascular risk factorsHIVnon-communicable diseasessub-Saharan Africa

Identifiers

PMID31353831
PMCPMC6661400
OpenAlexW2964521038

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.