Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31346580›Full record

ArticleAnnals of gastroenterological surgery2019

Risk calculator for predicting postoperative pneumonia after gastroenterological surgery based on a national Japanese database.

Yoshio Takesue, Hiroaki Miyata, Mitsukazu Gotoh, Go Wakabayashi, Hiroyuki Konno, Masaki Mori, Hiraku Kumamaru, Takashi Ueda, Kazuhiko Nakajima, Motoi Uchino and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of gastroenterological surgery, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Yoshio TakesueThe Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery Tokyo Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8635-6416
Hiroaki MiyataNational Clinical Database Tokyo Japan.
Mitsukazu GotohThe Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery Tokyo Japan.
Go WakabayashiThe Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery Tokyo Japan.
Hiroyuki KonnoNational Clinical Database Tokyo Japan.
Masaki MoriThe Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery Tokyo Japan.
Hiraku KumamaruThe Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery Tokyo Japan.
Takashi UedaThe Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery Tokyo Japan.
Kazuhiko NakajimaThe Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery Tokyo Japan.
Motoi UchinoThe Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery Tokyo Japan.
Yasuyuki SetoThe Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery Tokyo Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6953-8752
The Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe aim of the present study was to develop a risk calculator predictive of postoperative pneumonia in patients undergoing gastroenterological surgery.

methodsWe analyzed data from 382 124 patients undergoing eight main gastroenterological surgeries between 2011 and 2013 using the National Clinical Database in Japan. A risk model was developed using multivariate logistic regression analysis with patient data from 2011 to 2012 (n = 247 604) and validated using data from 2013 (n = 134 520).

resultsPneumonia was observed in 11 105 patients (2.9%). After the input of significant primary disease and surgical procedures, 18 patient characteristics including gender, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, sepsis, and need for any assistance in the activities of daily living, six laboratory parameters, and two intraoperative factors were used for risk calculation. Area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve was 0.822 (95% confidence interval, 0.817-0.826) in the derivation group and 0.826 (0.819-0.832) in the validation group.

conclusionThe risk calculator accurately predicted the occurrence of pneumonia following gastroenterological surgery.

Indexed as

gastroenterological surgeryNational Clinical Databasepneumoniapostoperative complicationrisk model

Identifiers

PMID31346580
PMCPMC6635692
OpenAlexW2942230401

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.