ArticleBMC public health2019
Estimates of past and future time trends in age-specific breast cancer incidence among women in Karachi, Pakistan: 2004-2025.
Article in BMC public health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 45 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
45 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Global epidemiology of breast cancer based on risk factors: a systematic review.Frontiers in oncology · 2023Pooled it
- Preoperative contrast-enhanced ultrasound combined with intra-lymph node methylene blue injection for sentinel lymph node identification: a minimally invasive sentinel lymph node biopsy tracing approach.European radiology · 2026Trial
- Gendered ageism among women undergoing mastectomy across two life stages: early adulthood and later life in Pakistan.International journal for equity in health · 2026Article
- The Effect of Culture-Based Breast Health Education Program on Breast Self-Examination Practice Among High-Risk Women: Randomized Controlled Trial.Asian/Pacific Island nursing journal · 2026Article
- Association of genetic variation in TLR4 and TLR9 genes with susceptibility to invasive ductal breast carcinoma.Molecular biology reports · 2026Article
- Breast Health Education as a Motivator for Breast Self-Examination Practice in High-Risk Women: Grounded Theory Analysis.Asian/Pacific Island nursing journal · 2026Article
- The impact of educational interventions on breast self-examination practice, knowledge, and beliefs among women: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Journal of public health research · 2026Review
- Trace element imbalances in selenium and mercury in relation to mammographic density and breast cancer progression: a case‒control study.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Impact of pharmacist-led educational services in promoting breast cancer awareness.BMC women's health · 2025Article
- Assessing the anticancer potential of Bergenia ciliata conjugated silk fibroin nanoparticles through histopathological and biomarkers study.Journal of molecular histology · 2025Article
- Fully Interpretable Deep Learning Model Using IR Thermal Images for Possible Breast Cancer Cases.Biomimetics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
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- Unraveling the Role ofPakistan journal of medical sciences · 2024Article
- Leukemia in India: Insights Into Incidence, Prevalence, Mortality, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years.Cureus · 2024Article
- Body mass index and altered lipid profile as major risk markers for breast cancer progression: a cross-sectional study of postmenopausal women in Pakistan.BMC women's health · 2024Article
- Cancer incidence in Iran in 2016: A study based on the Iranian National Cancer Registry.Cancer reports (Hoboken, N.J.) · 2024Review
- Exploring Biomarkers in Breast Cancer: Hallmarks of Diagnosis, Treatment, and Follow-Up in Clinical Practice.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2024Review
- Epidemiological breast cancer prediction by country: A novel machine learning approach.PloS one · 2024Article
- Assessing Awareness, Attitude, and Practices of Breast Cancer Screening and Prevention Among General Public and Physicians in Pakistan: A Nation With the Highest Breast Cancer Incidence in Asia.International journal of breast cancer · 2024Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThe current demographic trends indicate that breast cancer will pose an even greater public health concern in future for Pakistan. Details on the incidence, disease severity and mortality in respect of breast cancer are limited and without such data, therefore, future health policies or systems in respect of this disease cannot be strategically planned or implemented. The aim of this study was to examine past trends of age-specific breast cancer incidence rates (2004-2015), and to estimate the future volume of breast cancer cases in Karachi through the year 2025.
methodsTwo statistical methods, namely the functional time series models and the log-linear regression model were used; additionally, their real forecasting efficacy in epidemic time series was also evaluated.
resultsIn the past, women aged 60-64 years had the highest overall breast cancer incidence rates, while from 2016 to 2025, large increases in breast cancer rates among women aged 50 to 64 years are expected. The total projected breast cancer incidence will increase by approximately 23.1% in 2020 to 60.7% in 2025. Cases of breast cancer diagnosed in younger women, aged 30-34 years, will increase from 70.7 to 130.6% in 2020 and 2025 relative to 2015.
conclusionsThe breast cancer incidence appeared to have been rising more rapidly among post-menopausal women (aged 55 to 59), while a stable increase in incidence in the youngest age group (15-29 years) of women is expected. The results also infer an expected increase in incidence cases of breast cancer among middle aged women in Karachi, Pakistan. An increase in the number of incident cases of cancer has implications for understanding the health-care needs of growing population and the subsequent demands on health-care system.
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