Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31345180›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2019

Prediction of advanced colonic neoplasm in symptomatic patients: a scoring system to prioritize colonoscopy (COLONOFIT study).

Fernando Fernández-Bañares, Ramon Clèries, Jaume Boadas, Josepa Ribes, Joan Carles Oliva, Antoni Alsius, Xavier Sanz, Eva Martínez-Bauer, Sara Galter, Mar Pujals and 3 more

Abstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Fernando Fernández-BañaresDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hospital Universitari Mutua Terrassa, Plaza Dr Robert 5, 08221, Terrassa, Barcelona, Spain. ffbanares@mutuaterrassa.es.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1489-504X
Ramon ClèriesPla Director d'Oncologia, IDIBELL, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain.
Jaume BoadasDepartment of Gastroenterology, Consorci Sanitari de Terrassa, Terrassa, Barcelona, Spain.
Josepa RibesPla Director d'Oncologia, IDIBELL, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain.
Joan Carles OlivaPla Director d'Oncologia, IDIBELL, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain.
Antoni AlsiusCATLAB, Viladecavalls, Barcelona, Spain.
Xavier SanzPla Director d'Oncologia, IDIBELL, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain.
Eva Martínez-BauerDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hospital Parc Taulí, Sabadell, Barcelona, Spain.
Sara GalterDepartment of Gastroenterology, Consorci Sanitari de Terrassa, Terrassa, Barcelona, Spain.
Mar PujalsDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hospital Universitari Mutua Terrassa, Plaza Dr Robert 5, 08221, Terrassa, Barcelona, Spain.
Marta PujolDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hospital Parc Taulí, Sabadell, Barcelona, Spain.
Patricia Del PozoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Consorci Sanitari de Terrassa, Terrassa, Barcelona, Spain.
Rafel CampoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hospital Parc Taulí, Sabadell, Barcelona, Spain.

Funding

Fundació la Marató de TV3 785/U/2013
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFast-track colonoscopy to detect patients with colorectal cancer based on high-risk symptoms is associated with low sensitivity and specificity. The aim was to derive a predictive score of advanced colonic neoplasia in symptomatic patients in fast-track programs.

methodsAll patients referred for fast-track colonoscopy were evaluated. Faecal immunological haemoglobin test (3 samples; positive> 4 μg Hb/g), and a survey to register clinical variables of interest were performed. Colorectal cancer and advanced adenoma were considered as advanced colonic neoplasia. A sample size of 600 and 500 individuals were calculated for each phase 1 and phase 2 of the study, respectively (Phase 1, derivation and Phase 2, validation cohort). A Bayesian logistic regression analysis was used to derive a predictive score.

results1495 patients were included. Age (OR, 21), maximum faecal-Hb value (OR, 2.3), and number of positive samples (OR, 28) presented the highest ORs predictive of advanced colonic neoplasia. The additional significant predictive variables adjusted for age and faecal-Hb variables in Phase 1 were previous colonoscopy (last 5 years) and smoking (no, ex/active). With these variables a predictive score of advanced colonic neoplasia was derived. Applied to Phase 2, patients with a Score > 20 had an advanced colonic neoplasia probability of 66% (colorectal cancer, 32%), while those with a Score ≤ 10, a probability of 10% (colorectal cancer, 1%). Prioritizing patients with Score > 10, 49.4% of patients would be referred for fast-track colonoscopy, diagnosing 98.3% of colorectal cancers and 77% of advanced adenomas.

conclusionsA scoring system was derived and validated to prioritize fast-track colonoscopies according to risk, which was efficient, simple, and robust.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalPatient SelectionAdenomaAdultColonic NeoplasmsColonoscopyEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedOccult BloodPractice Guidelines as TopicPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisAdvanced adenomaColorectal cancerFaecal immunological occult haemoglobin testFast-track colonoscopy

Identifiers

PMID31345180
PMCPMC6659265

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.