ArticleStatistics and public policy (Philadelphia, Pa.)2019
Bayesian Estimation of MSM Population Size in Côte d'Ivoire.
Article in Statistics and public policy (Philadelphia, Pa.), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed.
- Population size, HIV prevalence, and antiretroviral therapy coverage among key populations in sub-Saharan Africa: collation and synthesis of survey data, 2010-23.The Lancet. Global health · 2024Article
- Challenges and Opportunities in Big Data Science to Address Health Inequities and Focus the HIV Response.Current HIV/AIDS reports · 2024Review
- An introduction to bayesian spatial smoothing methods for disease mapping: modeling county firearm suicide mortality rates.American journal of epidemiology · 2024Article
- Leveraging Routinely Collected Program Data to Inform Extrapolated Size Estimates for Key Populations in Namibia: Small Area Estimation Study.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2024Article
- Comparison of Empirically Derived and Model-Based Estimates of Key Population HIV Incidence and the Distribution of New Infections by Population Group in Sub-Saharan Africa.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2024Article
- Summarizing methods for estimating population size for key populations: a global scoping review for human immunodeficiency virus research.AIDS research and therapy · 2022Article
- The effect of men who have sex with men (MSM) on the spread of sexually transmitted infections.Theoretical biology & medical modelling · 2021Article
- Using factor analyses to estimate the number of female sex workers across Malawi from multiple regional sources.Annals of epidemiology · 2021Article
- Estimating the Population Size of Female Sex Workers in Zimbabwe: Comparison of Estimates Obtained Using Different Methods in Twenty Sites and Development of a National-Level Estimate.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2020Article
- The uptake of population size estimation studies for key populations in guiding HIV responses on the African continent.PloS one · 2020Article
- Evolving HIV epidemics: the urgent need to refocus on populations with risk.Current opinion in HIV and AIDS · 2019Review
- Estimating Sizes of Key Populations at the National Level: Considerations for Study Design and Analysis.Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.) · 2018Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Côte d'Ivoire has among the most generalized HIV epidemics in West Africa with an estimated half million people living with HIV. Across West Africa, key populations, including gay men and other men who have sex with men (MSM), are often disproportionately burdened with HIV due to specific acquisition and transmission risks. Quantifying population sizes of MSM at the subnational level is critical to ensuring evidence-based decisions regarding the scale and content of HIV prevention interventions. While survey-based direct estimates of MSM numbers are available in a few urban centers across Côte d'Ivoire, no data on MSM population size exists in other areas without any community group infrastructure to facilitate sufficient access to communities of MSM. The data are used in a Bayesian regression setup to produce estimates of the numbers of MSM in areas of Côte d'Ivoire prioritized in the HIV response. Our hierarchical model imputes missing covariates using geo-spatial information and allows for proper uncertainty quantification leading to confidence bounds for predicted MSM population size estimates. This process provided population size estimates where there are no empirical data, to guide the prioritization of further collection of empirical data on MSM and inform evidence-based scaling of HIV prevention and treatment programs for MSM across Côte d'Ivoire.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.