Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31340061›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of cancer2020

Circulating tumor DNA quantity is related to tumor volume and both predict survival in metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

Marin Strijker, Eline C Soer, Matteo de Pastena, Aafke Creemers, Alberto Balduzzi, Jamie J Beagan, Olivier R Busch, Otto M van Delden, Hans Halfwerk, Jeanin E van Hooft and 16 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of cancer, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 71 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
71citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

71 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 99 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. A Phase II Trial of Niraparib in Patients with Advanced Pancreatic Cancer Harboring Pathogenic Variants in ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, PALB2, and CHEK2.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2026
    Trial
  4. Article
  5. Clinical and Molecular Correlates of Circulating Tumor Fraction in Patients with Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2026
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. ctDNA in Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma: A Critical Appraisal.Current oncology (Toronto, Ont.) · 2025
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

11 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

26 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Marin StrijkerDepartment of Surgery, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-4988-9624
Eline C SoerDepartment of Pathology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Matteo de PastenaDepartment of General and Pancreatic Surgery, The Pancreas Institute, University of Verona Hospital Trust, Verona, Italy.
Aafke CreemersDepartment of Medical Oncology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-7082-8183
Alberto BalduzziDepartment of General and Pancreatic Surgery, The Pancreas Institute, University of Verona Hospital Trust, Verona, Italy.
Jamie J BeaganDepartment of Pathology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, VU University Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Olivier R BuschDepartment of Surgery, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Otto M van DeldenDepartment of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Hans HalfwerkDepartment of Pathology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Jeanin E van HooftDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Krijn P van LiendenDepartment of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Giovanni MarchegianiDepartment of General and Pancreatic Surgery, The Pancreas Institute, University of Verona Hospital Trust, Verona, Italy.
Sybren L MeijerDepartment of Pathology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Carel J van NoeselDepartment of Pathology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Roy J ReintenDepartment of Pathology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Eva RoosDepartment of Surgery, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Sandor SchokkerDepartment of Medical Oncology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Joanne VerheijDepartment of Pathology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Marc J van de VijverDepartment of Pathology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Cynthia WaasdorpLaboratory for Experimental Oncology and Radiobiology, Center for Experimental and Molecular Medicine, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Johanna W WilminkDepartment of Medical Oncology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Bauke YlstraDepartment of Pathology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, VU University Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Marc G BesselinkDepartment of Surgery, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Maarten F BijlsmaLaboratory for Experimental Oncology and Radiobiology, Center for Experimental and Molecular Medicine, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-6627-3229
Frederike DijkDepartment of Pathology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Hanneke W van LaarhovenDepartment of Medical Oncology, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Amsterdam Neuroscience · NLUniversity of Verona · ITAmsterdam University Medical Centers · NLOncode Institute · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is assumed to reflect tumor burden and has been suggested as a tool for prognostication and follow-up in patients with metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC). However, the prognostic value of ctDNA and its relation with tumor burden has yet to be substantiated, especially in mPDAC. In this retrospective analysis of prospectively collected samples, cell-free DNA from plasma samples of 58 treatment-naive mPDAC patients was isolated and sequenced using a custom-made pancreatobiliary NGS panel. Pathogenic mutations were detected in 26/58 (44.8%) samples. Cross-check with droplet digital PCR showed good agreement in Bland-Altman analysis (p = 0.217, nonsignificance indicating good agreement). In patients with liver metastases, ctDNA was more frequently detected (24/37, p < 0.001). Tumor volume (3D reconstructions from imaging) and ctDNA variant allele frequency (VAF) were correlated (Spearman's ρ = 0.544, p < 0.001). Median overall survival (OS) was 3.2 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.6-4.9) versus 8.4 (95% CI 1.6-15.1) months in patients with detectable versus undetectable ctDNA (p = 0.005). Both ctDNA VAF and tumor volume independently predicted OS after adjustment for carbohydrate antigen 19.9 and treatment regimen (hazard ratio [HR] 1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.09, p = 0.005; HR 1.00, 95% CI 1.01-1.05, p = 0.003). In conclusion, our study showed that ctDNA detection rates are higher in patients with larger tumor volume and liver metastases. Nevertheless, measurements may diverge and, thus, can provide complementary information. Both ctDNA VAF and tumor volume were strong predictors of OS.

Indexed as

Tumor BurdenAgedBiomarkers, TumorCarcinoma, Pancreatic DuctalCirculating Tumor DNAFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHigh-Throughput Nucleotide SequencingHumansLiver NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedPancreatic NeoplasmsPrognosisProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNAcirculating tumor DNAKRASpancreatic cancerprognosistumor volume

Identifiers

PMID31340061
PMCPMC7004068
OpenAlexW2962726154

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.