Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31339884›Full record

ArticlePloS one2019

Epidemiology and disease burden of tuberculosis in south of Tunisia over a 22-year period: Current trends and future projections.

Houda Ben Ayed, Makram Koubaa, Lamia Gargouri, Maissa Ben Jemaa, Maroua Trigui, Fatma Hammemi, Mariem Ben Hmida, Abdelmajid Mahfoudh, Neila Zalila, Aida Mustapha and 7 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Houda Ben AyedCommunity Health and Epidemiology Department, Hedi Chaker University Hospital, University of Sfax, Sfax, Tunisia.ORCID 0000-0002-5866-7022
Makram KoubaaExtra-pulmonary Research Unity, Hedi Chaker University Hospital, Sfax, Tunisia.
Lamia GargouriDepartment of Pediatrics, Hedi Chaker University Hospital, Sfax, Tunisia.
Maissa Ben JemaaCommunity Health and Epidemiology Department, Hedi Chaker University Hospital, University of Sfax, Sfax, Tunisia.
Maroua TriguiCommunity Health and Epidemiology Department, Hedi Chaker University Hospital, University of Sfax, Sfax, Tunisia.
Fatma HammemiExtra-pulmonary Research Unity, Hedi Chaker University Hospital, Sfax, Tunisia.
Mariem Ben HmidaCommunity Health and Epidemiology Department, Hedi Chaker University Hospital, University of Sfax, Sfax, Tunisia.
Abdelmajid MahfoudhDepartment of Pediatrics, Hedi Chaker University Hospital, Sfax, Tunisia.
Neila ZalilaRegional Primary Health Care Directory, Sfax, Tunisia.
Aida MustaphaRegional Primary Health Care Directory, Sfax, Tunisia.
Chokri MasmoudiRegional Primary Health Care Directory, Sfax, Tunisia.
Chakib MarrakchiExtra-pulmonary Research Unity, Hedi Chaker University Hospital, Sfax, Tunisia.
Sourour YaichCommunity Health and Epidemiology Department, Hedi Chaker University Hospital, University of Sfax, Sfax, Tunisia.
Feriel MessaadiRegional Primary Health Care Directory, Sfax, Tunisia.
Ali AyediRegional Primary Health Care Directory, Sfax, Tunisia.
Jamel DamakCommunity Health and Epidemiology Department, Hedi Chaker University Hospital, University of Sfax, Sfax, Tunisia.
Mounir Ben JemaaExtra-pulmonary Research Unity, Hedi Chaker University Hospital, Sfax, Tunisia.
University of Sfax · TNHopital Universitaire Hedi Chaker · TN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTuberculosis (TB) is a public health problem worldwide. Characterizing its trends over time is a useful tool for decision-makers to assess the efficiency of TB control programs. We aimed to give an update on the current chronological trends of TB in Southern Tunisia from 1995 to 2016 and to estimate future trajectories of TB epidemic by 2030.

methodsWe retrospectively collected data of all notified TB new cases by the Center of Tuberculosis Control between 1995 and 2016 in South of Tunisia. Joinpoint Regression Analysis was performed to analyze chronological trends and annual percentage changes (APC) were estimated.

resultsIn the past 22 years, a total of 2771 cases of TB were notified in Southern Tunisia. The annual incidence rate of TB was 13.91/100,000 population/year. There was a rise in all forms of TB incidence (APC = 1.63) and in extrapulmonary tuberculosis (EPTB) (APC = 2.04). The incidence of TB increased in children and adult females between 1995 and 2016 (APC = 4.48 and 2.37, respectively). The annual number of TB declined in urban districts between 2004 and 2016 (APC = -2.85). Lymph node TB cases increased (APC = 4.58), while annual number of urogenital TB decreased between 1995 and 2016 (APC = -3.38). Projected incidence rates would increase to 18.13 and 11.8/100,000 population in 2030 for global TB and EPTB, respectively.

conclusionsOur study highlighted a rise in all forms of TB and among high-risk groups, notably children, females and lymph node TB patients in the last two decades and up to the next one.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAge FactorsChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantMaleMiddle AgedMycobacterium tuberculosisRegression AnalysisRetrospective StudiesRural PopulationSex Factors

Identifiers

PMID31339884
PMCPMC6656341
OpenAlexW2963197079

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.