Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31337411›Full record

ArticleMalaria journal2019

Modelling the relationship between malaria prevalence as a measure of transmission and mortality across age groups.

Sammy Khagayi, Meghna Desai, Nyaguara Amek, Vincent Were, Eric Donald Onyango, Christopher Odero, Kephas Otieno, Godfrey Bigogo, Stephen Munga, Frank Odhiambo and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Malaria journal, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Malaria Incidence, Growth, and their Relationship among a Cohort of Malawian Children.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Sammy KhagayiKenya Medical Research Institute-Center for Global Health Research, Kisumu, Kenya.
Meghna DesaiMalaria Branch, Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Nyaguara AmekKenya Medical Research Institute-Center for Global Health Research, Kisumu, Kenya.
Vincent WereKenya Medical Research Institute-Center for Global Health Research, Kisumu, Kenya.
Eric Donald OnyangoKenya Medical Research Institute-Center for Global Health Research, Kisumu, Kenya.
Christopher OderoKenya Medical Research Institute-Center for Global Health Research, Kisumu, Kenya.
Kephas OtienoKenya Medical Research Institute-Center for Global Health Research, Kisumu, Kenya.
Godfrey BigogoKenya Medical Research Institute-Center for Global Health Research, Kisumu, Kenya.
Stephen MungaKenya Medical Research Institute-Center for Global Health Research, Kisumu, Kenya.
Frank OdhiamboKenya Medical Research Institute-Center for Global Health Research, Kisumu, Kenya.
Mary J HamelMalaria Branch, Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Simon KariukiKenya Medical Research Institute-Center for Global Health Research, Kisumu, Kenya.
Aaron M SamuelsMalaria Branch, Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Laurence SlutskerMalaria Branch, Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
John GimnigMalaria Branch, Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Penelope VounatsouSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland. penelope.vounatsou@swisstph.ch.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4904-5352

Funding

H2020 European Research Council 323180Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung IZ01Z0-147286
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundParasite prevalence has been used widely as a measure of malaria transmission, especially in malaria endemic areas. However, its contribution and relationship to malaria mortality across different age groups has not been well investigated. Previous studies in a health and demographic surveillance systems (HDSS) platform in western Kenya quantified the contribution of incidence and entomological inoculation rates (EIR) to mortality. The study assessed the relationship between outcomes of malaria parasitaemia surveys and mortality across age groups.

methodsParasitological data from annual cross-sectional surveys from the Kisumu HDSS between 2007 and 2015 were used to determine malaria parasite prevalence (PP) and clinical malaria (parasites plus reported fever within 24 h or temperature above 37.5 °C). Household surveys and verbal autopsy (VA) were used to obtain data on all-cause and malaria-specific mortality. Bayesian negative binomial geo-statistical regression models were used to investigate the association of PP/clinical malaria with mortality across different age groups. Estimates based on yearly data were compared with those from aggregated data over 4 to 5-year periods, which is the typical period that mortality data are available from national demographic and health surveys.

resultsUsing 5-year aggregated data, associations were established between parasite prevalence and malaria-specific mortality in the whole population (RR

conclusionMalaria parasitaemia from cross-sectional surveys was associated with mortality across age groups over 4 to 5 year periods with clinical malaria more strongly associated with mortality than parasite prevalence. This effect was stronger in children 5-14 years compared to other age-groups. Further analyses of data from other HDSS sites or similar platforms would be useful in investigating the relationship between malaria and mortality across different endemicity levels.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBayes TheoremChildChild, PreschoolCross-Sectional StudiesHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornKenyaMalariaMiddle AgedParasitemiaBayesian spatio-temporalHealth and demographic surveillance systemMalariaMortalityParasite prevalence

Identifiers

PMID31337411
PMCPMC6651924

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.