ArticleBMC public health2019
Smoking prevalence and attributable deaths in Thailand: predicting outcomes of different tobacco control interventions.
Article in BMC public health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.
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Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed, 41 citations in OpenAlex.
- A community pharmacist-led smoking cessation intervention using a smartphone app (PharmQuit): A randomized controlled trial.PloS one · 2022Trial
- Tobacco smoking behavior and health outcomes among patients with chronic diseases: a comparative study of tobacco-producing and non-producing areas in southern Thailand.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- The epidemiology and burden of smoking in countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), 1990-2021: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.The Lancet. Public health · 2025Article
- Prevalence of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease and Asthma in the Community of Pathumthani, Thailand.Diseases (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- A cross-sectional study of knowledge about secondhand smoke-attributed diseases, awareness, and applicability of the smoking control law in a southern province of Thailand.Tobacco induced diseases · 2025Article
- Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.The Lancet. Public health · 2024Article
- Prevalence and Determinants of Current Cigarette Smoking Among Adolescents in Thailand: Evidence From 2021 Global School-Based Health Survey.Journal of research in health sciences · 2024Article
- Active smoking in urban households: An association between urinary cotinine metabolite level and serum eGFR concentration.Tobacco induced diseases · 2024Article
- Evaluating smokers' opinions on smoking and customized cessation in a Thailand University context: A qualitative study.Tobacco induced diseases · 2024Article
- Association between socioecological factors and electronic cigarette use among Thai youth: an institution-based cross-sectional study.BMJ open · 2023Article
- Article
- Influence of socioeconomics and social marketing on smoking in Thailand: A National Survey in 2017.Tobacco prevention & cessation · 2023Article
- Electronic Cigarette Use and Other Factors Associated with Cigarette Smoking among Thai Undergraduate Students.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Effectiveness of an integrated smoking cessation service model on smoking status: A preliminary study.Tobacco induced diseases · 2022Article
- Urinary Organophosphate Metabolites and Metabolic Biomarkers of Conventional and Organic Farmers in Thailand.Toxics · 2021Article
- Feasibility of a Smoking Cessation Smartphone App (Quit with US) for Young Adult Smokers: A Single Arm, Pre-Post Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- Exposure to ambient particulate matter and biomass burning during pregnancy: associations with birth weight in Thailand.Journal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology · 2021Article
- A call for standardised age-disaggregated health data.The lancet. Healthy longevity · 2021Review
- The battle to increase tobacco taxes: Lessons from Philippines and Ukraine.Social science & medicine (1982) · 2021Article
- Smoking characteristics and lung functions among university athletes.Scientific reports · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundDespite substantial positive impacts of Thailand's tobacco control policies on reducing the prevalence of smoking, current trends suggest that further reductions are needed to ensure that WHO's 2025 voluntary global target of a 30% relative reduction in tobacco use is met. In order to confirm this hypothesis, we aim to estimate the effect of tobacco control policies in Thailand on the prevalence of smoking and attributed deaths and assess the possibilities of achieving WHO's 2025 global target. This paper addresses this knowledge gap which will contribute to policy control measures on tobacco control. Results of this study can help guide policy makers in implementing further interventions to reduce the prevalence of smoking in Thailand.
methodA Markov chain model was developed to examine the effect of tobacco control policies, such as accessibility restrictions for youths, increased tobacco taxes and promotion of smoking cessation programs, from 2015 to 2025. Outcomes included smoking prevalence and the number of smoking-attributable deaths. Due to the very low prevalence of female smokers in 2014, this study applied the model to estimate the smoking prevalence and attributable mortality among males only.
resultsGiven that the baseline prevalence of smoking in 2010 was 41.7% in males, the target of a 30% relative reduction requires that the prevalence be reduced to 29.2% by 2025. Under a baseline scenario where smoking initiation and cessation rates among males are attained by 2015, smoking prevalence rates will reduce to 37.8% in 2025. The combined tobacco control policies would further reduce the prevalence to 33.7% in 2025 and 89,600 deaths would be averted.
conclusionCurrent tobacco control policies will substantially reduce the smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable deaths. The combined interventions can reduce the smoking prevalence by 19% relative to the 2010 level. These projected reductions are insufficient to achieve the committed target of a 30% relative reduction in smoking by 2025. Increased efforts to control tobacco use will be essential for reducing the burden of non-communicable diseases in Thailand.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.