Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31337369›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2019

Overall survival in patients over 40 years old with surgically resected pancreatic carcinoma: a SEER-based nomogram analysis.

Jian Li, Leshan Liu

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Long-Term Effect of Pancreaticoduodenectomy Combined with Revascularization for Resectable Pancreatic Carcinoma in Elderly Patients.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2022
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Observational
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Jian LiClinical Research Center, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, 197 Ruijin Er Road, Huangpu District, Shanghai, 200025, China. nclijian@163.com.
Leshan LiuClinical Research Center, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, 197 Ruijin Er Road, Huangpu District, Shanghai, 200025, China.

Funding

Shanghai Shenkang hospital development center SHDC12018629
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe aim of this study was to identify the determinants of overall survival (OS) within patients over 40 years old with surgically resected pancreatic carcinoma (PC), and to develop a nomogram with the intention of OS predicting.

methodsA total of 6341 patients of 40 years of age or later with surgically resected PC between 2010 and 2015 were enrolled from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program and randomly assigned into training set (4242 cases) and validation set (2099 cases). A nomogram was constructed for predicting 1-, 2- and 3-years OS based on univairate and multivariate Cox regression. The C-index and calibration plot were adopted to assess the nomogram performance.

resultsOur analysis showed that age, location of carcinoma in pancreas, tumor grade, TNM stage, size of carcinoma together with lymph node ratio (LNR) were considered to be independent overall survival predictors. A nomogram based on these six factors was developed with C-index being 0.680 (95%CI: 0.667-0.693). All calibration curves of OS fitted well. The OS curves stratified by nomogram-predicted probability score (≥20, 10-19 and < 10) demonstrated statistically significant difference not only within training set but also in validation set.

conclusionsThe present nomogram for OS predicting can serve as the efficacious survival-predicting model and assist in accurate decision-making for patients over 40 years old with surgically resected PC.

Indexed as

NomogramsPancreatectomyAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsClinical Decision-MakingFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateLymph NodesMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm GradingNeoplasm StagingNomogramOverall survivalPancreatic carcinomaPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID31337369
PMCPMC6651947

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.