Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31331340›Full record

ArticleMalaria journal2019

Multiplex serology demonstrate cumulative prevalence and spatial distribution of malaria in Ethiopia.

Ashenafi Assefa, Ahmed Ali Ahmed, Wakgari Deressa, Heven Sime, Hussein Mohammed, Amha Kebede, Hiwot Solomon, Hiwot Teka, Kevin Gurrala, Brian Matei and 11 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Malaria journal, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 39 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Review
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  11. Using Serological Markers for the Surveillance ofPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023
    Article
  12. Article
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  15. MissedOpen forum infectious diseases · 2022
    Article
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  20. PLOS global public health · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors at 11 institutions in 5 countries.

Ashenafi AssefaEthiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. ashyaega@yahoo.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6093-6685
Ahmed Ali AhmedSchool of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Wakgari DeressaSchool of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Heven SimeEthiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Hussein MohammedEthiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Amha KebedeAfrican Society for Laboratory Medicine, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Hiwot SolomonEthiopian Federal Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Hiwot TekaU.S. President's Malaria Initiative, United States Agency for International Development, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Kevin GurralaMalaria Branch, Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Brian MateiMalaria Branch, Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Brian WakemanMalaria Branch, Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
G Glenn WilsonDepartment of Biology, University of Southern Denmark, 5230, Odense M, Denmark.
Ipsita SinhaMahidol Oxford Research Unit, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Richard J MaudeMahidol Oxford Research Unit, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Ruth AshtonCenter for Applied Malaria Research and Evaluation, Tulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA, USA.
Jackie CookLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Ya Ping ShiMalaria Branch, Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Chris DrakeleyLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Lorenz von SeidleinMahidol Oxford Research Unit, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Eric RogierMalaria Branch, Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Jimee HwangMalaria Branch, Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, U.S. President's Malaria Initiative, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · USEthiopian Public Health Institute · ETAddis Ababa University · ETLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBMahidol University · THAfrican Society for Laboratory Medicine · ETGovernment of Ethiopia · ETHarvard University · USTulane University · USUnited States Agency for International Development · USUniversity of Southern Denmark · DK

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/R010161/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMeasures of malaria burden using microscopy and rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) in cross-sectional household surveys may incompletely describe the burden of malaria in low-transmission settings. This study describes the pattern of malaria transmission in Ethiopia using serological antibody estimates derived from a nationwide household survey completed in 2015.

methodsDried blood spot (DBS) samples were collected during the Ethiopian Malaria Indicator Survey in 2015 from malarious areas across Ethiopia. Samples were analysed using bead-based multiplex assays for IgG antibodies for six Plasmodium antigens: four human malaria species-specific merozoite surface protein-1 19kD antigens (MSP-1) and Apical Membrane Antigen-1 (AMA-1) for Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax. Seroprevalence was estimated by age, elevation and region. The seroconversion rate was estimated using a reversible catalytic model fitted with maximum likelihood methods.

resultsOf the 10,278 DBS samples available, 93.6% (9622/10,278) had valid serological results. The mean age of participants was 15.8 years and 53.3% were female. National seroprevalence for antibodies to P. falciparum was 32.1% (95% confidence interval (CI) 29.8-34.4) and 25.0% (95% CI 22.7-27.3) to P. vivax. Estimated seroprevalences for Plasmodium malariae and Plasmodium ovale were 8.6% (95% CI 7.6-9.7) and 3.1% (95% CI 2.5-3.8), respectively. For P. falciparum seroprevalence estimates were significantly higher at lower elevations (< 2000 m) compared to higher (2000-2500 m) (aOR 4.4; p < 0.01). Among regions, P. falciparum seroprevalence ranged from 11.0% (95% CI 8.8-13.7) in Somali to 65.0% (95% CI 58.0-71.4) in Gambela Region and for P. vivax from 4.0% (95% CI 2.6-6.2) in Somali to 36.7% (95% CI 30.0-44.1) in Amhara Region. Models fitted to measure seroconversion rates showed variation nationally and by elevation, region, antigen type, and within species.

conclusionUsing multiplex serology assays, this study explored the cumulative malaria burden and regional dynamics of the four human malarias in Ethiopia. High malaria burden was observed in the northwest compared to the east. High transmission in the Gambela and Benishangul-Gumuz Regions and the neglected presence of P. malariae and P. ovale may require programmatic attention. The use of a multiplex assay for antibody detection in low transmission settings has the potential to act as a more sensitive biomarker.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAntibodies, ProtozoanChildChild, PreschoolEthiopiaFemaleHumansImmunoglobulin GInfantInfant, NewbornMalariaMaleMiddle AgedAntibodies, ProtozoanImmunoglobulin GEthiopiaMalariaMultiplex serologySeroprevalence

Identifiers

PMID31331340
PMCPMC6647069
OpenAlexW2963266216

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.