Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31331188›Full record

ArticleCancer control : journal of the Moffitt Cancer Center

Projecting Cancer Incidence for 2025 in the 2 Largest Populated Cities in Vietnam.

Sang Minh Nguyen, Stephen Deppen, Giang Huong Nguyen, Dung Xuan Pham, Tung Duc Bui, Thuan Van Tran

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer control : journal of the Moffitt Cancer Center. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 47 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Observational
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  6. Lung Cancer Outcomes in Vietnam: A 6-Year Retrospective Study.Journal of immunotherapy and precision oncology · 2025
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  15. Disparities in the global burden of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer from 1990 to 2019.Chinese medical journal pulmonary and critical care medicine · 2023
    Article
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  18. Association of Fruit, Vegetable, and Animal Food Intakes with Breast Cancer Risk Overall and by Molecular Subtype among Vietnamese Women.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Sang Minh Nguyen1 Division of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, USA.
Stephen Deppen2 Geriatric Research Education and Clinical Center, Tennessee Valley Healthcare System, Nashville, TN, USA.
Giang Huong Nguyen4 National Cancer Hospital, Hanoi, Vietnam.
Dung Xuan Pham5 Ho Chi Minh City Oncological Hospital, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Tung Duc Bui6 Ho Chi Minh Cancer Registry, Ho Chi Minh City Oncological Hospital, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Thuan Van Tran5 Ho Chi Minh City Oncological Hospital, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
HCMC Hospital of Dermato Venereology · VNNational Hospital of Pediatrics · VNVanderbilt University · USVanderbilt University Medical Center · US

Funding

Vanderbilt-Emory-Cornell-Duke Global Health Fellowship Consortium-Expanding Diversity for Global Equity (EDGE)D43TW009337 · FIC · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI ALIYU, MUKTAR HASSAN, HEIMBURGER, DOUGLAS CORBETT · 2017 to 2021
$6.3M
Regional Center of Research Excellence in Cancer and Other Non-Communicable Disease Epidemiology and Prevention in VietnamP20CA210300 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI SHU, XIAO-OU, TRAN, THUAN · 2016 to 2017
$549k
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW009337NCI NIH HHS P20 CA210300
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The population size and projected demographics of Vietnam's 2 largest cities, Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC) and Hanoi, will change dramatically over the next decade. Demographic changes in an aging population coupled with income growth and changes in lifestyle will result in a very different distribution of common cancers in the future. The study aimed to project the number of cancer incidence in the 2 largest populated cities in Vietnam for the year 2025. Cancer incidence data from 2004 to 2013 collected from population-based cancer registries in these 2 cities were provided by Vietnam National Cancer Institute. Incidence cases in 2013 and the previous decades average annual percent changes of age-standardized cancer incidence rates combined with expected population growth were modeled to project cancer incidence for each cancer site by gender to 2025. A substantial double in cancer incidence from 2013 to 2025 resulted from a growing and aging population in HCMC and Hanoi. Lung, colorectum, breast, thyroid, and liver cancers, which represent 67% of the overall cancer burden, are projected to become the leading cancer diagnoses by 2025 regardless of genders. For men, the leading cancer sites in 2025 are predicted to be lung, colorectum, esophagus, liver, and pharynx cancer, and among women, they are expected to be breast, thyroid, colorectum, lung, and cervical cancer. We projected an epidemiological transition from infectious-associated cancers to a high burden of cancers that have mainly been attributed to lifestyle in both cities. We predicted that with 16.9% growth in the overall population and dramatic aging with these 2 urban centers, the burdens of cancer incidence will increase sharply in both cities over the next decades. Data on projections of cancer incidence in both cities provide useful insights for directing appropriate policies and cancer control programs in Vietnam.

Indexed as

ForecastingAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionAgingChildChild, PreschoolCitiesFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornLinear Modelsage-standardized cancer incidence ratescancer incidencedemographic shiftsprojections; average annual percent changes

Identifiers

PMID31331188
PMCPMC6651684
OpenAlexW2962757024

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.