Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31328830›Full record

ArticleGenetic epidemiology2019

A flexible and parallelizable approach to genome-wide polygenic risk scores.

Paul J Newcombe, Christopher P Nelson, Nilesh J Samani, Frank Dudbridge

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Genetic epidemiology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Paul J NewcombeMRC Biostatistics Unit, School of Clinical Medicine, Cambridge Institute of Public Health, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5611-6702
Christopher P NelsonDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, Cardiovascular Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Nilesh J SamaniDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, Cardiovascular Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Frank DudbridgeDepartment of Health Sciences, Centre for Medicine, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8817-8908

Funding

British Heart FoundationDepartment of HealthMedical Research Council MC_UU_00002/9Wellcome Trust 061858Wellcome Trust 076113Wellcome Trust 076113/C/04/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The heritability of most complex traits is driven by variants throughout the genome. Consequently, polygenic risk scores, which combine information on multiple variants genome-wide, have demonstrated improved accuracy in genetic risk prediction. We present a new two-step approach to constructing genome-wide polygenic risk scores from meta-GWAS summary statistics. Local linkage disequilibrium (LD) is adjusted for in Step 1, followed by, uniquely, long-range LD in Step 2. Our algorithm is highly parallelizable since block-wise analyses in Step 1 can be distributed across a high-performance computing cluster, and flexible, since sparsity and heritability are estimated within each block. Inference is obtained through a formal Bayesian variable selection framework, meaning final risk predictions are averaged over competing models. We compared our method to two alternative approaches: LDPred and lassosum using all seven traits in the Welcome Trust Case Control Consortium as well as meta-GWAS summaries for type 1 diabetes (T1D), coronary artery disease, and schizophrenia. Performance was generally similar across methods, although our framework provided more accurate predictions for T1D, for which there are multiple heterogeneous signals in regions of both short- and long-range LD. With sufficient compute resources, our method also allows the fastest runtimes.

Indexed as

Genetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenome-Wide Association StudyArea Under CurveCase-Control StudiesCoronary Artery DiseaseDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1HumansModels, GeneticMultifactorial InheritancePolymorphism, Single NucleotideRisk FactorsROC CurveSchizophreniaBayesian variable selectionmeta-GWASpolygenic risk scoresrisk predictionsummary statistics

Identifiers

PMID31328830
PMCPMC6764842

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.