Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31323204›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of ophthalmology2019

Machine Learning-Based Predictive Modeling of Surgical Intervention in Glaucoma Using Systemic Data From Electronic Health Records.

Sally L Baxter, Charles Marks, Tsung-Ting Kuo, Lucila Ohno-Machado, Robert N Weinreb

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of ophthalmology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
6.3field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 75 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Sally L BaxterViterbi Family Department of Ophthalmology, Hamilton Glaucoma Center and Shiley Eye Institute, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA; UCSD Health Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Charles MarksUCSD Health Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA; Interdisciplinary Research on Substance Use Joint Doctoral Program, University of California, San Diego and San Diego State University, San Diego, California, USA.
Tsung-Ting KuoUCSD Health Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Lucila Ohno-MachadoUCSD Health Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA; Division of Health Services Research and Development, Veterans Administration San Diego Healthcare System, La Jolla, California, USA.
Robert N WeinrebViterbi Family Department of Ophthalmology, Hamilton Glaucoma Center and Shiley Eye Institute, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA. Electronic address: rweinreb@ucsd.edu.
University of California San Diego · USSan Diego State University · USUC San Diego Health System · US

Funding

UC San Diego Clinical and Translational Research InstituteUL1TR001442 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI FIRESTEIN, GARY S, HOGARTH, MICHAEL · 2015 to 2024
$88.3M
San Diego Clinical and Translational Research InstituteUL1TR000100 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI FIRESTEIN, GARY S · 2012 to 2015
$19.7M
iDASH: Integrating Data for Analysis, Anonymization, and SharingU54HL108460 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI OHNO-MACHADO, LUCILA · 2010 to 2015
$19.1M
SAN DIEGO CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEUL1RR031980 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI FIRESTEIN, GARY S · 2010 to 2011
$14.0M
Vision BiostatisticsP30EY022589 · NEI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI Radha Ayyagari · 2012 to 2026
$10.3M
San Diego Biomedical Informatics Education & Research (SABER)T15LM011271 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SHAMIM NEMATI · 2012 to 2026
$9.7M
Diagnosis and Monitoring of Glaucoma with Optical Coherence Tomography AngiographyR01EY029058 · NEI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI WEINREB, ROBERT N · 2018 to 2024
$4.2M
BECKON - Block Estimate Chain: creating Knowledge ON demand & protecting privacyR00HG009680 · NHGRI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI KUO, TSUNG-TING · 2019 to 2021
$849k
BECKON - Block Estimate Chain: creating Knowledge ON demand & protecting privacyK99HG009680 · NHGRI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI KUO, TSUNG-TING · 2017 to 2018
$176k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000100NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001442NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR031980NEI NIH HHS P30 EY022589NEI NIH HHS R01 EY029058NHGRI NIH HHS K99 HG009680NHGRI NIH HHS R00 HG009680NHLBI NIH HHS U54 HL108460NLM NIH HHS T15 LM011271
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo predict the need for surgical intervention in patients with primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) using systemic data in electronic health records (EHRs).

designDevelopment and evaluation of machine learning models.

methodsStructured EHR data of 385 POAG patients from a single academic institution were incorporated into models using multivariable logistic regression, random forests, and artificial neural networks. Leave-one-out cross-validation was performed. Mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and Youden index were calculated for each model to evaluate performance. Systemic variables driving predictions were identified and interpreted.

resultsMultivariable logistic regression was most effective at discriminating patients with progressive disease requiring surgery, with an AUC of 0.67. Higher mean systolic blood pressure was associated with significantly increased odds of needing glaucoma surgery (odds ratio [OR] = 1.09, P < .001). Ophthalmic medications (OR = 0.28, P < .001), non-opioid analgesic medications (OR = 0.21, P = .002), anti-hyperlipidemic medications (OR = 0.39, P = .004), macrolide antibiotics (OR = 0.40, P = .03), and calcium blockers (OR = 0.43, P = .03) were associated with decreased odds of needing glaucoma surgery.

conclusionsExisting systemic data in the EHR has some predictive value in identifying POAG patients at risk of progression to surgical intervention, even in the absence of eye-specific data. Blood pressure-related metrics and certain medication classes emerged as predictors of glaucoma progression. This approach provides an opportunity for future development of automated risk prediction within the EHR based on systemic data to assist with clinical decision-making.

Indexed as

Machine LearningModels, StatisticalAgedAged, 80 and overDisease ProgressionElectronic Health RecordsFemaleFiltering SurgeryGlaucoma, Open-AngleHumansIntraocular PressureMaleMiddle AgedOdds RatioReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID31323204
PMCPMC6888922
OpenAlexW2961351527

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.