Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31313110›Full record

ArticleJournal of general internal medicine2019

Electronic Health Record Mortality Prediction Model for Targeted Palliative Care Among Hospitalized Medical Patients: a Pilot Quasi-experimental Study.

Katherine R Courtright, Corey Chivers, Michael Becker, Susan H Regli, Linnea C Pepper, Michael E Draugelis, Nina R O'Connor

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of general internal medicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 48 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
48citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

48 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. A systematic review of the assessment model for palliative care needs in cancer patients.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Leveraging the electronic health record to identify delivery of goal-concordant care.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Applying Machine Learning Techniques to Implementation Science.Online journal of public health informatics · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Katherine R CourtrightDepartment of Medicine at the Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, 303 Blockley Hall, 423 Guardian Drive, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA. katherine.courtright@pennmedicine.upenn.edu.
Corey ChiversPredictive Healthcare at Penn Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Michael BeckerPredictive Healthcare at Penn Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Susan H RegliCenter for Evidence-based Practice to Clinical Effectiveness and Quality Improvement (CEQI) at Penn Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Linnea C PepperDepartment of Medicine at the Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, 303 Blockley Hall, 423 Guardian Drive, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA.
Michael E DraugelisPredictive Healthcare at Penn Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Nina R O'ConnorDepartment of Medicine at the Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, 303 Blockley Hall, 423 Guardian Drive, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDevelopment of electronic health record (EHR) prediction models to improve palliative care delivery is on the rise, yet the clinical impact of such models has not been evaluated.

objectiveTo assess the clinical impact of triggering palliative care using an EHR prediction model.

designPilot prospective before-after study on the general medical wards at an urban academic medical center.

participantsAdults with a predicted probability of 6-month mortality of ≥ 0.3.

interventionTriggered (with opt-out) palliative care consult on hospital day 2. MAIN MEASURES: Frequencies of consults, advance care planning (ACP) documentation, home palliative care and hospice referrals, code status changes, and pre-consult length of stay (LOS). KEY

resultsThe control and intervention periods included 8 weeks each and 138 admissions and 134 admissions, respectively. Characteristics between the groups were similar, with a mean (standard deviation) risk of 6-month mortality of 0.5 (0.2). Seventy-seven (57%) triggered consults were accepted by the primary team and 8 consults were requested per usual care during the intervention period. Compared to historical controls, consultation increased by 74% (22 [16%] vs 85 [63%], P < .001), median (interquartile range) pre-consult LOS decreased by 1.4 days (2.6 [1.1, 6.2] vs 1.2 [0.8, 2.7], P = .02), ACP documentation increased by 38% (23 [17%] vs 37 [28%], P = .03), and home palliative care referrals increased by 61% (9 [7%] vs 23 [17%], P = .01). There were no differences between the control and intervention groups in hospice referrals (14 [10] vs 22 [16], P = .13), code status changes (42 [30] vs 39 [29]; P = .81), or consult requests for lower risk (< 0.3) patients (48/1004 [5] vs 33/798 [4]; P = .48).

conclusionsTargeting hospital-based palliative care using an EHR mortality prediction model is a clinically promising approach to improve the quality of care among seriously ill medical patients. More evidence is needed to determine the generalizability of this approach and its impact on patient- and caregiver-reported outcomes.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesAgedAged, 80 and overElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHospitalizationHumansMaleMiddle AgedNon-Randomized Controlled Trials as TopicPalliative CarePatient Acceptance of Health CarePilot ProjectsProspective StudiesReferral and Consultationpalliative careprediction modeltriggers

Identifiers

PMID31313110
PMCPMC6712114

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.